Tennis · Challenger Brownsburg · 11/08, 19:00
Prediction: Stefan Kozlov vs Aidan Mayo
Team pages: Stefan Kozlov · Aidan Mayo
Prediction summary
Winner
Stefan Kozlov
Aidan Mayo
Estimated games
23.9
Recent form · 10 last
Stefan Kozlov
5-5 (W-L)
Aidan Mayo
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Stefan Kozlov
2–0
Aidan Mayo
(2 last)
- 05 Jul2-1 18-16W
- 17 May2-0 12-8W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Stefan Kozlov 1460 · Aidan Mayo 1541
| Stefan Kozlov | Aidan Mayo | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 61% |
| Market | 39% | 61% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Aidan Mayo (rating 1460 vs 1541).
- Head-to-head: Stefan Kozlov 2–0 Aidan Mayo (2).
Statistics
| Stefan Kozlov | Aidan Mayo | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 20% (5) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.5 | 1.5-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 12-12.9 | 13.8-11.3 |
| Aces | 2.4 | 7.4 |
| Double faults | 3.6 | 3.9 |
| 1st serve % | 65% | 79.8% |
| Break % | 42.9% | 39.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.9
H2H · Stefan Kozlov 2 – 0 Aidan Mayo (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Stefan Kozlov 2–0 Aidan Mayo
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07/26 Challenger Newport | 2-1 | 18-16 | W |
| 17/05/25 M25 Xalapa | 2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Stefan Kozlov
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | Zachary Svajda ATP Washington · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 21/07 | Alan Magadan Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 20/07 | Roger Pascual Ferra Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 19/07 | Leo Vithoontien Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 14/07 | Yi Zhou Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 10/07 | Jacob Fearnley Challenger Newport · Grass |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 09/07 | Yibing Wu Challenger Newport · Grass |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 07/07 | Garrett Johns Challenger Newport · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 05/07 | Aidan Mayo Challenger Newport · Grass |
2-1 | 18-16 | W |
| 12/05 | Alejo Sanchez Quilez Challenger Valencia · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Aidan Mayo
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/08 | Tristan Boyer Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 09/08 | Ryan Dickerson Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 04/08 | Rei Sakamoto Challenger Lexington · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 03/08 | Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez Challenger Lexington · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 02/08 | Christian Langmo Challenger Lexington · Hard |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 29/07 | James Duckworth ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 27/07 | Roger Pascual Ferra ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 26/07 | Evan King ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 22/07 | Alex Michelsen Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 20/07 | Alan Magadan Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
1-2 | 18-17 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Stefan Kozlov vs Aidan Mayo?
Our model gives 61% to Aidan Mayo, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.