Tennis · Challenger Brownsburg · 11/08, 20:30
Prediction: Henry Searle vs Mees Rottgering
Team pages: Henry Searle · Mees Rottgering
Prediction summary
Winner
Henry Searle
Mees Rottgering
Estimated games
21.3
Recent form · 10 last
Henry Searle
7-3 (W-L)
Mees Rottgering
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Henry Searle 1599 · Mees Rottgering 1557
| Henry Searle | Mees Rottgering | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 66% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Henry Searle (rating 1599 vs 1557).
- Henry Searle dominates on serve: 7.3 aces and 53.3% break avg.
Statistics
| Henry Searle | Mees Rottgering | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 70% |
| Win % · Grass | 89% (9) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.6 | 1.3-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.4-9.5 | 9.9-7.4 |
| Aces | 7.3 | 2.7 |
| Double faults | 2.2 | 3.1 |
| 1st serve % | 81.3% | 73.9% |
| Break % | 53.3% | 49.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Henry Searle
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/08 | Lloyd Harris Challenger Lexington · Hard |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 12/07 | Clement Chidekh Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 11/07 | Max Basing Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 10/07 | Johannus Monday Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 09/07 | Amit Vales Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 07/07 | Patrick Zahraj Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 24/06 | Vilius Gaubas Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 22/06 | Zhizhen Zhang Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 20/06 | Jurij Rodionov Challenger Dublin · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 19/06 | Kyrian Jacquet Challenger Dublin · Grass |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
Mees Rottgering
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/08 | Garrett Johns Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 09/08 | Benjamin Kittay Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 03/08 | Abedallah Shelbayh Challenger Lexington · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 02/08 | Bryce Nakashima Challenger Lexington · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 22/07 | Yu Hsiou Hsu Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 21/07 | Fajing Sun Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 19/07 | Ozan Baris M25 Louisville |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 18/07 | Timo Legout M25 Louisville |
1-0 | 7-5 | W |
| 17/07 | Evan Bynoe M25 Louisville |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 16/07 | Lev Seidman M25 Louisville |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Henry Searle vs Mees Rottgering?
Our model gives 62% to Henry Searle, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.