Tennis · WTA Cincinnati · 11/08, 22:30
Prediction: Nadia Podoroska vs Ella Seidel
Team pages: Nadia Podoroska · Ella Seidel
Prediction summary
Winner
Nadia Podoroska
Ella Seidel
Estimated games
21.4
Recent form · 10 last
Nadia Podoroska
6-4 (W-L)
Ella Seidel
2-8 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Nadia Podoroska
0–1
Ella Seidel
(1 last)
- 21 Jul1-2 11-14L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Nadia Podoroska 1524 · Ella Seidel 1421
| Nadia Podoroska | Ella Seidel | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 64% | 36% |
| Market | 34% | 66% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Nadia Podoroska (rating 1524 vs 1421).
- Nadia Podoroska is in better form: 50% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Nadia Podoroska 0–1 Ella Seidel (1).
- Note: Nadia Podoroska makes many double faults (5.1/match).
- Note: Ella Seidel makes many double faults (4.7/match).
Statistics
| Nadia Podoroska | Ella Seidel | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 20% |
| Win % · Clay | 57% (7) | 0% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1.1 | 0.6-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.6-10.6 | 8.3-11.5 |
| Aces | 1 | 2.8 |
| Double faults | 5.1 | 4.7 |
| 1st serve % | 65.2% | 62.2% |
| Break % | 44.2% | 49.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.4
H2H · Nadia Podoroska 0 – 1 Ella Seidel (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Nadia Podoroska 0–1 Ella Seidel
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/07/24 WTA Prague | 1-2 | 11-14 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Nadia Podoroska
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/07 | Andrea Lazaro Garcia W100 Gran Canaria |
1-2 | 13-12 | L |
| 29/07 | Sara Cakarevic W100 Gran Canaria |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 20/07 | Julia Stusek WTA Hamburg · Clay |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 13/07 | Petra Marcinko WTA Iasi · Clay |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 30/06 | Marta Kostyuk Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 19/06 | Lucciana Perez Alarcon W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 18/06 | Ruien Zhang W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 17/06 | Carolina Troiano W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 14/06 | Lucciana Perez Alarcon W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-16 | W |
| 13/06 | Aurora Zantedeschi W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
Ella Seidel
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/08 | Gabriela Knutson WTA Warsaw · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 04/08 | Dalma Galfi WTA Warsaw · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 20/07 | Daria Snigur WTA Prague · Hard |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 07/07 | Anastasia Kulikova W50 Corroios-Seixal |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Linda Noskova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 20/06 | Solana Sierra WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 15/06 | Diane Parry WTA Berlin · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 07/06 | Greet Minnen WTA Hertogenbosch · Grass |
1-2 | 7-14 | L |
| 06/06 | Claire Liu WTA Hertogenbosch · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 25/05 | Jelena Ostapenko French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Nadia Podoroska vs Ella Seidel?
Our model gives 52% to Ella Seidel, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.