Tennis · WTA Cincinnati · 19/08, 21:00
Prediction: Coco Gauff vs Marie Bouzkova
Team pages: Coco Gauff · Marie Bouzkova
Prediction summary
Winner
Coco Gauff
Marie Bouzkova
Estimated games
23.1
Recent form · 10 last
Coco Gauff
6-4 (W-L)
Marie Bouzkova
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Coco Gauff
1–1
Marie Bouzkova
(2 last)
- 31 May2-0 13-7W
- 14 May1-2 10-16L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Coco Gauff 1576 · Marie Bouzkova 1547
| Coco Gauff | Marie Bouzkova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 74% | 26% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Coco Gauff makes many double faults (5.6/match).
- Note: Marie Bouzkova makes many double faults (4.4/match).
Statistics
| Coco Gauff | Marie Bouzkova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 83% (6) | 67% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.8-0.8 | 1.5-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.9-10.2 | 13.3-11.1 |
| Aces | 4.7 | 2.7 |
| Double faults | 5.6 | 4.4 |
| 1st serve % | 69.7% | 67% |
| Break % | 46.3% | 44.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.1
H2H · Coco Gauff 1 – 1 Marie Bouzkova (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Coco Gauff 1–1 Marie Bouzkova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31/05/25 French Open Women | 2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 14/05/23 WTA Rome | 1-2 | 10-16 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Coco Gauff
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/08 | Ann Li WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 17/08 | Ludmilla Samsonova WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 13/08 | Elena Rybakina WTA Toronto · Hard |
1-2 | 11-17 | L |
| 09/08 | Alina Korneeva WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 08/08 | Maria Sakkari WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 05/08 | Kayla Day WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 09/07 | Karolina Muchova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 07/07 | Jessica Pegula Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 05/07 | Belinda Bencic Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 03/07 | Claire Liu Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
Marie Bouzkova
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/08 | Iva Jovic WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 16/08 | Lucrezia Stefanini WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 05/08 | Taylor Townsend WTA Toronto · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 24/07 | Tereza Valentova WTA Prague · Hard |
1-2 | 16-15 | L |
| 22/07 | Carol Young Suh Lee WTA Prague · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 20/07 | Jessica Bouzas Maneiro WTA Prague · Hard |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 06/07 | Elise Mertens Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 04/07 | Ludmilla Samsonova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 02/07 | Tyra Caterina Grant Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 30/06 | Talia Gibson Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Coco Gauff vs Marie Bouzkova?
Our model gives 65% to Coco Gauff, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.