Tennis · WTA Cincinnati · 11/08, 22:30
Prediction: Emiliana Arango vs Aliaksandra Sasnovich
Team pages: Emiliana Arango · Aliaksandra Sasnovich
Prediction summary
Winner
Emiliana Arango
Aliaksandra Sasnovich
Estimated games
23.2
Recent form · 10 last
Emiliana Arango
4-6 (W-L)
Aliaksandra Sasnovich
3-7 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Emiliana Arango
0–1
Aliaksandra Sasnovich
(1 last)
- 28 Apr1-2 16-19L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Emiliana Arango 1480 · Aliaksandra Sasnovich 1477
| Emiliana Arango | Aliaksandra Sasnovich | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 50% |
| Market | 42% | 58% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Emiliana Arango 0–1 Aliaksandra Sasnovich (1).
Statistics
| Emiliana Arango | Aliaksandra Sasnovich | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 40% |
| Win % · Grass | 50% (6) | 40% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.3 | 1-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.2-11.1 | 12.6-12.4 |
| Aces | 1.5 | 5.2 |
| Double faults | 2.9 | 3.3 |
| 1st serve % | 63% | 64.9% |
| Break % | 36.9% | 64.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.2
H2H · Emiliana Arango 0 – 1 Aliaksandra Sasnovich (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Emiliana Arango 0–1 Aliaksandra Sasnovich
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/04/25 WTA Vic | 1-2 | 16-19 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Emiliana Arango
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Lois Boisson WTA Toronto · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 14/07 | Tamara Zidansek WTA Iasi · Clay |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 08/07 | Paula Badosa WTA Bastad · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 06/07 | Lea Nilsson WTA Bastad · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 29/06 | Anastasia Gasanova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Caty McNally WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 22/06 | Maya Joint WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 21/06 | Sofia Johnson WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 20/06 | Alycia Parks WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 13/06 | Anna Bondar WTA Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Aliaksandra Sasnovich
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/07 | Maria Timofeeva WTA Prague · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 16/07 | Tereza Valentova WTA Athens · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Anna Blinkova WTA Athens · Hard |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 25/06 | Bianca Andreescu Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 24/06 | Storm Hunter Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 23/06 | Katy Dunne Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 13/06 | Magdalena Frech WTA Berlin · Grass |
1-2 | 17-19 | L |
| 07/06 | Storm Hunter WTA Queens · Grass |
1-2 | 19-19 | L |
| 22/05 | Marina Bassols Ribera French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 20/05 | Oceane Dodin French Open Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Emiliana Arango vs Aliaksandra Sasnovich?
Our model gives 54% to Aliaksandra Sasnovich, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.