Tennis · ATP Cincinnati · 11/08, 22:30
Prediction: Aleksandar Vukic vs Darwin Blanch
Team pages: Aleksandar Vukic · Darwin Blanch
Prediction summary
Winner
Aleksandar Vukic
Darwin Blanch
Estimated games
23.3Bet365 line 23.5
Recent form · 10 last
Aleksandar Vukic
9-1 (W-L)
Darwin Blanch
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Aleksandar Vukic 1583 · Darwin Blanch 1476
| Aleksandar Vukic | Darwin Blanch | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 65% | 35% |
| Market | 56% | 44% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Aleksandar Vukic (rating 1583 vs 1476).
- Aleksandar Vukic is in better form: 80% recent wins.
Statistics
| Aleksandar Vukic | Darwin Blanch | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 80% (10) | 0% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.8-0.6 | 1.1-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.3-9.7 | 12.6-14.2 |
| Aces | 8.6 | 5.2 |
| Double faults | 0.8 | 3.7 |
| 1st serve % | 80.3% | 71.1% |
| Break % | 38.6% | 39% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.3 · Bet365 line 23.5
Over 23.5: 48% · 1.83
Under 23.5: 52% · 1.83
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Aleksandar Vukic
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/08 | Daniel Altmaier ATP Montreal · Hard |
1-2 | 17-19 | L |
| 01/08 | Tomas Barrios Vera ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 29/07 | Lorenzo Musetti ATP Washington · Hard |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 27/07 | Zachary Svajda ATP Washington · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 26/07 | Alex Bolt ATP Washington · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 25/07 | Mohamed Aziz Dougaz ATP Washington · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 19/07 | Arthur Gea Challenger Granby · Hard |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 19/07 | August Holmgren Challenger Granby · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 18/07 | Alexis Galarneau Challenger Granby · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 16/07 | Nicolas Arseneault Challenger Granby · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Darwin Blanch
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07 | Coleman Wong ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 21/07 | Mark Lajal Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 15/07 | Bernard Tomic Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 10/07 | Jacob Fearnley Challenger Newport · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 09/07 | Garrett Johns Challenger Newport · Grass |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 08/07 | Murphy Cassone Challenger Newport · Grass |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
| 22/06 | Filip Cristian Jianu Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 15/06 | Zhizhen Zhang Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 13/06 | Jacob Fearnley Challenger Ilkley · Grass |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 12/06 | Henrique Rocha Challenger Ilkley · Grass |
2-1 | 14-15 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Aleksandar Vukic vs Darwin Blanch?
Our model gives 60% to Aleksandar Vukic, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.