Tennis · ATP Cincinnati · 11/08, 21:00
Prediction: Martin Damm vs Stefanos Sakellaridis
Team pages: Martin Damm · Stefanos Sakellaridis
Prediction summary
Winner
Martin Damm
Stefanos Sakellaridis
Estimated games
24.7Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Martin Damm
5-5 (W-L)
Stefanos Sakellaridis
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Martin Damm 1520 · Stefanos Sakellaridis 1529
| Martin Damm | Stefanos Sakellaridis | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 71% | 29% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Martin Damm dominates on serve: 10.5 aces and 47.4% break avg.
Statistics
| Martin Damm | Stefanos Sakellaridis | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 70% |
| Win % · Grass | 60% (5) | 57% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-1.1 | 1.4-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 14.3-12.9 | 11.9-10.6 |
| Aces | 10.5 | 4.7 |
| Double faults | 3.8 | 3 |
| 1st serve % | 75.1% | 73.6% |
| Break % | 47.4% | 43% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.7 · Bet365 line 22.5 · +2.2
Over 22.5: 65% · 1.83
Under 22.5: 35% · 1.83
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Martin Damm
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/08 | Stefanos Tsitsipas ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 01/08 | Henrique Rocha ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 28/07 | Ben Shelton ATP Washington · Hard |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 26/07 | Abedallah Shelbayh ATP Washington · Hard |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 25/07 | Kimmer Coppejans ATP Washington · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 01/07 | Arthur Rinderknech Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 13-19 | L |
| 29/06 | Marco Trungelliti Wimbledon · Grass |
3-1 | 27-25 | W |
| 16/06 | Jenson Brooksby ATP Queens · Grass |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 14/06 | Zachary Svajda ATP Queens · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 13/06 | Daniel Merida Aguilar ATP Queens · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Stefanos Sakellaridis
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/06 | Oliver Tarvet Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 11-19 | L |
| 24/06 | Federico Coria Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 22/06 | Yu Hsiou Hsu Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 18/06 | Titouan Droguet Challenger Dublin · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 17/06 | Clement Tabur Challenger Dublin · Grass |
2-1 | 14-15 | W |
| 16/06 | Ivan Ivanov Challenger Dublin · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 06/06 | Sho Shimabukuro ATP Stuttgart · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 31/05 | Cezar Cretu Challenger Chisinau · Clay |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 30/05 | Genaro Alberto Olivieri Challenger Chisinau · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 29/05 | Sumit Nagal Challenger Chisinau · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Martin Damm vs Stefanos Sakellaridis?
Our model gives 61% to Martin Damm, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.