Tennis · ATP Cincinnati · 11/08, 16:30
Prediction: Alexander Shevchenko vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz
Team pages: Alexander Shevchenko · Pablo Llamas Ruiz
Prediction summary
Winner
Alexander Shevchenko
Pablo Llamas Ruiz
Estimated games
23.9Bet365 line 23.5
Recent form · 10 last
Alexander Shevchenko
6-4 (W-L)
Pablo Llamas Ruiz
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alexander Shevchenko 1504 · Pablo Llamas Ruiz 1469
| Alexander Shevchenko | Pablo Llamas Ruiz | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 45% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Alexander Shevchenko | Pablo Llamas Ruiz | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 57% (7) | 50% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.4 | 1.2-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.2-13 | 11.8-13 |
| Aces | 5.6 | 2.4 |
| Double faults | 3.4 | 1.3 |
| 1st serve % | 72% | 67.7% |
| Break % | 35.4% | 29.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.9 · Bet365 line 23.5
Over 23.5: 52% · 1.83
Under 23.5: 48% · 1.83
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alexander Shevchenko
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Kyrian Jacquet ATP Montreal · Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 21/07 | Jan-Lennard Struff ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 18/07 | Stefanos Tsitsipas ATP Gstaad · Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 17/07 | Quentin Halys ATP Gstaad · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 17/07 | Dominic Stephan Stricker ATP Gstaad · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 14/07 | Alexandre Muller ATP Gstaad · Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 29/06 | Felix Auger Aliassime Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 8-18 | L |
| 20/06 | Abedallah Shelbayh ATP Mallorca · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 14/06 | Taro Daniel Challenger Bratislava · Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 13/06 | Vitaliy Sachko Challenger Bratislava · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Pablo Llamas Ruiz
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Marcos Giron ATP Montreal · Hard |
1-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 29/07 | Keegan Rice Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 22/07 | Mark Lajal Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 21/07 | Bruno Kuzuhara Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 30/06 | Zachary Svajda Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 7-18 | L |
| 25/06 | Tristan Boyer Wimbledon · Grass |
1-3 | 21-26 | L |
| 24/06 | Pol Martin Tiffon Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 22/06 | Dan Added Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 05/06 | Daniel Merida Aguilar Challenger Perugia · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 03/06 | Jacopo Vasami Challenger Perugia · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alexander Shevchenko vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz?
Our model gives 52% to Alexander Shevchenko, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.