Tennis · ATP Cincinnati · 11/08, 19:30
Prediction: Jaime Faria vs Nikoloz Basilashvili
Team pages: Jaime Faria · Nikoloz Basilashvili
Prediction summary
Winner
Jaime Faria
Nikoloz Basilashvili
Estimated games
25.8Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Jaime Faria
7-3 (W-L)
Nikoloz Basilashvili
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jaime Faria 1511 · Nikoloz Basilashvili 1478
| Jaime Faria | Nikoloz Basilashvili | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 45% |
| Market | 65% | 35% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Jaime Faria dominates on serve: 9.5 aces and 47.3% break avg.
- Note: Jaime Faria makes many double faults (6.8/match).
- Note: Nikoloz Basilashvili makes many double faults (6.3/match).
Statistics
| Jaime Faria | Nikoloz Basilashvili | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 60% (5) | 33% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-1.4 | 1.2-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 15.4-15.3 | 12.4-13 |
| Aces | 9.5 | 7.5 |
| Double faults | 6.8 | 6.3 |
| 1st serve % | 73.5% | 75.6% |
| Break % | 47.3% | 38.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
25.8 · Bet365 line 22.5 · +3.3
Over 22.5: 72% · 1.90
Under 22.5: 28% · 1.80
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jaime Faria
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/08 | Titouan Droguet ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 01/08 | Christopher O'Connell ATP Montreal · Hard |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 24/07 | Luciano Darderi ATP Estoril · Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 23/07 | Gonzalo Bueno ATP Estoril · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 21/07 | Botic Van De Zandschulp ATP Estoril · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 16/07 | Casper Ruud ATP Gstaad · Clay |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 14/07 | Stan Wawrinka ATP Gstaad · Clay |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 02/07 | Zizou Bergs Wimbledon · Grass |
1-3 | 17-23 | L |
| 30/06 | Sho Shimabukuro Wimbledon · Grass |
3-1 | 25-19 | W |
| 25/06 | Rei Sakamoto Wimbledon · Grass |
3-1 | 23-19 | W |
Nikoloz Basilashvili
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/07 | Mili Poljicak Challenger San Marino · Clay |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 28/07 | Michael Vrbensky Challenger San Marino · Clay |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 20/07 | Tiago Torres ATP Estoril · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 16/07 | Thiago Agustin Tirante ATP Bastad · Clay |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 14/07 | Jan Choinski ATP Bastad · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 07/07 | Vilius Gaubas Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 22/06 | Elias Ymer Wimbledon · Grass |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 15/06 | Daniel Altmaier ATP Halle · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 14/06 | Lorenzo Sonego ATP Halle · Grass |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 13/06 | Diego Dedura-Palomero ATP Halle · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jaime Faria vs Nikoloz Basilashvili?
Our model gives 60% to Jaime Faria, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.