Tennis · ATP Cincinnati · 11/08, 18:00
Prediction: Quentin Halys vs Soonwoo Kwon
Team pages: Quentin Halys · Soonwoo Kwon
Prediction summary
Winner
Quentin Halys
Soonwoo Kwon
Estimated games
25Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Quentin Halys
6-4 (W-L)
Soonwoo Kwon
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Quentin Halys 1592 · Soonwoo Kwon 1564
| Quentin Halys | Soonwoo Kwon | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 58% | 42% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Soonwoo Kwon makes many double faults (5.4/match).
Statistics
| Quentin Halys | Soonwoo Kwon | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 88% (8) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.8 | 1.8-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 14.3-12.5 | 14.7-12.2 |
| Aces | 11.5 | 5.7 |
| Double faults | 3.5 | 5.4 |
| 1st serve % | 83% | 76.1% |
| Break % | 31.3% | 47% |
Estimated total games (ours)
25 · Bet365 line 22.5 · +2.5
Over 22.5: 67% · 1.83
Under 22.5: 33% · 1.83
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Quentin Halys
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | Alexander Bublik ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 24/07 | Yannick Hanfmann ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 23/07 | Mariano Navone ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 22/07 | Valentin Vacherot ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 21/07 | Laslo Djere ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 17/07 | Alexander Shevchenko ATP Gstaad · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 17/07 | Alexander Bublik ATP Gstaad · Clay |
2-1 | 19-17 | W |
| 14/07 | Federico Cina ATP Gstaad · Clay |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 02/07 | Marcos Giron Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 13-19 | L |
| 30/06 | Matteo Arnaldi Wimbledon · Grass |
3-1 | 22-16 | W |
Soonwoo Kwon
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/08 | Andre Ilagan Challenger Lexington · Hard |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 03/08 | Aidan Kim Challenger Lexington · Hard |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 02/08 | Gavin Young Challenger Lexington · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 29/07 | Arthur Gea ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 27/07 | Edward Winter ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 26/07 | Alan Fernando Rubio Fierros ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 01/07 | Tommy Paul Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 11-19 | L |
| 29/06 | Martin Landaluce Wimbledon · Grass |
3-0 | 18-10 | W |
| 25/06 | Alejandro Moro Canas Wimbledon · Grass |
3-0 | 19-13 | W |
| 24/06 | Arthur Gea Wimbledon · Grass |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Quentin Halys vs Soonwoo Kwon?
Our model gives 56% to Quentin Halys, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.