Tennis · ATP Cincinnati · 11/08, 18:00
Prediction: Dusan Lajovic vs Benjamin Bonzi
Team pages: Dusan Lajovic · Benjamin Bonzi
Prediction summary
Winner
Dusan Lajovic
Benjamin Bonzi
Estimated games
24.9Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Dusan Lajovic
6-4 (W-L)
Benjamin Bonzi
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Dusan Lajovic
2–1
Benjamin Bonzi
(3 last)
- 31 Oct2-0 13-8W
- 28 Mar2-0 12-6W
- 19 May0-2 2-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Dusan Lajovic 1517 · Benjamin Bonzi 1526
| Dusan Lajovic | Benjamin Bonzi | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 38% | 63% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Dusan Lajovic 2–1 Benjamin Bonzi (3).
Statistics
| Dusan Lajovic | Benjamin Bonzi | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 75% (4) | 60% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-1.5 | 1.4-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 14.6-14.9 | 12.4-12 |
| Aces | 4.6 | 7.1 |
| Double faults | 2.7 | 2.9 |
| 1st serve % | 70.1% | 72.9% |
| Break % | 35.6% | 32.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.9 · Bet365 line 22.5 · +2.4
Over 22.5: 66% · 1.90
Under 22.5: 34% · 1.80
H2H · Dusan Lajovic 2 – 1 Benjamin Bonzi (3)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Dusan Lajovic 2–1 Benjamin Bonzi
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10/23 ATP Paris | 2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 28/03/18 Challenger Le Gosier | 2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 19/05/17 Challenger Bordeaux | 0-2 | 2-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Dusan Lajovic
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Edas Butvilas Challenger Lexington · Hard |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 07/08 | Abedallah Shelbayh Challenger Lexington · Hard |
2-1 | 15-16 | W |
| 05/08 | Lloyd Harris Challenger Lexington · Hard |
2-1 | 12-13 | W |
| 04/08 | James McCabe Challenger Lexington · Hard |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 13/07 | Luca Van Assche ATP Umag · Clay |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 30/06 | Taylor Fritz Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 10-18 | L |
| 25/06 | Vilius Gaubas Wimbledon · Grass |
2-3 | 23-24 | L |
| 24/06 | Chris Rodesch Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 22/06 | Lukas Neumayer Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 12/06 | Oriol Roca Batalla Challenger Cattolica · Clay |
1-2 | 18-18 | L |
Benjamin Bonzi
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/08 | Yannick Hanfmann ATP Montreal · Hard |
1-2 | 9-16 | L |
| 01/08 | Hugo Dellien ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 31/07 | Jay Friend Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
1-2 | 18-19 | L |
| 29/07 | Michael Mmoh Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 29/07 | Blaise Bicknell Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 18/06 | Christopher O'Connell Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 17/06 | Jacob Fearnley Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 15/06 | Tomas Barrios Vera Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 12/06 | Alex De Minaur ATP Hertogenbosch · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 11/06 | Ugo Humbert ATP Hertogenbosch · Grass |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Dusan Lajovic vs Benjamin Bonzi?
Our model gives 57% to Benjamin Bonzi, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.