Tennis · Challenger Astana · 12/08, 07:00
Prediction: Lucio Ratti vs Khumoyun Sultanov
Team pages: Lucio Ratti · Khumoyun Sultanov
Prediction summary
Winner
Lucio Ratti
Khumoyun Sultanov
Estimated games
21.5Bet365 line 21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Lucio Ratti
6-4 (W-L)
Khumoyun Sultanov
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lucio Ratti 1586 · Khumoyun Sultanov 1570
| Lucio Ratti | Khumoyun Sultanov | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 44% | 56% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Lucio Ratti | Khumoyun Sultanov | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 88% (8) | 86% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.7 | 1.7-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 12-8.7 | 12.9-8.6 |
| Aces | 1.7 | 3.8 |
| Double faults | 3.2 | 2.5 |
| 1st serve % | 73.3% | 70.6% |
| Break % | 43.3% | 44.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.5 · Bet365 line 21.5
Over 21.5: 50% · 1.80
Under 21.5: 50% · 1.90
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lucio Ratti
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/08 | Tai Leonard Sach Challenger Astana · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 03/08 | Max Basing Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 28/06 | Filip Jeff Planinsek M15 Slovenska Bistrica · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 27/06 | Denis Petak M15 Slovenska Bistrica · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 26/06 | Vincent Dullinger M15 Slovenska Bistrica · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 25/06 | Edoardo Cherie Ligniere M15 Slovenska Bistrica · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 24/06 | Alessandro Battiston M15 Slovenska Bistrica · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 19/06 | Cosme Rolland De Ravel Challenger Royan · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 18/06 | Gerard Campana Lee Challenger Royan · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 17/06 | Felix Balshaw Challenger Royan · Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
Khumoyun Sultanov
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/08 | Alexandr Binda Challenger Astana · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 27/07 | Aleksandr Braynin Challenger Liberec · Clay |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 26/07 | Dominik Recek Challenger Liberec · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 21/07 | Andrej Martin M25 Ollersbach |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 07/07 | Karl Friberg M25 The Hague |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 03/07 | Filip Jeff Planinsek M25 Marburg · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 02/07 | Paul Jubb M25 Marburg · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 01/07 | Jim Hendrikx M25 Marburg · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 28/06 | Kalin Ivanovski M25 Zagreb · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 27/06 | Oleg Prihodko M25 Zagreb · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lucio Ratti vs Khumoyun Sultanov?
Our model gives 52% to Khumoyun Sultanov, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.