Tennis · Challenger Astana · 11/08, 07:00
Prediction: Sidharth Rawat vs Mert Alkaya
Team pages: Sidharth Rawat · Mert Alkaya
Prediction summary
Winner
Sidharth Rawat
Mert Alkaya
Estimated games
21Bet365 line 21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Sidharth Rawat
4-6 (W-L)
Mert Alkaya
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sidharth Rawat 1485 · Mert Alkaya 1461
| Sidharth Rawat | Mert Alkaya | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 47% |
| Market | 25% | 75% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Sidharth Rawat | Mert Alkaya | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 40% (10) | 38% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.2 | 1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.6-10.4 | 10.7-11.3 |
| Aces | 4 | 4.5 |
| Double faults | 1.8 | 2.9 |
| 1st serve % | 73.3% | 69.4% |
| Break % | 44.7% | 32.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21 · Bet365 line 21.5 · -0.5
Over 21.5: 46% · 1.90
Under 21.5: 54% · 1.80
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sidharth Rawat
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/08 | Shunsuke Mitsui Challenger Astana · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 09/08 | Aleksandre Bakshi Challenger Astana · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 03/08 | Alexandr Binda Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 02/08 | Yaroslav Demin Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 28/07 | Max Basing Challenger Samsun · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 02/06 | Edward Winter Challenger Centurion · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 26/05 | Orel Kimhi Challenger Centurion · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 20/05 | Ognjen Milic Challenger Bengaluru · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 19/05 | Omar Jasika Challenger Bengaluru · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 11/05 | Maximus Jones Challenger Bengaluru · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
Mert Alkaya
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/08 | Kenta Miyoshi Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 04/08 | Saba Purtseladze Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 28/07 | Colin Sinclair Challenger Samsun · Hard |
1-2 | 15-13 | L |
| 24/07 | Luka Pavlovic Challenger Segovia · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 22/07 | Akira Santillan Challenger Segovia · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 20/07 | Juan Pablo Ficovich Challenger Segovia · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 13/07 | Chris Rodesch Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 01/07 | Sebastian Dominko M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 28/06 | Carl Emil Overbeck M25 Porto |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 27/06 | Francisco Rocha M25 Porto |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sidharth Rawat vs Mert Alkaya?
Our model gives 62% to Mert Alkaya, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.