Tennis · Challenger Astana · 11/08, 07:00
Prediction: Sanhui Shin vs Erik Arutiunian
Team pages: Sanhui Shin · Erik Arutiunian
Prediction summary
Winner
Sanhui Shin
Erik Arutiunian
Estimated games
20.6
Recent form · 10 last
Sanhui Shin
7-3 (W-L)
Erik Arutiunian
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sanhui Shin 1544 · Erik Arutiunian 1504
| Sanhui Shin | Erik Arutiunian | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 41% | 59% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sanhui Shin (rating 1544 vs 1504).
Statistics
| Sanhui Shin | Erik Arutiunian | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (4) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1 | 1-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.5-10.6 | 9.1-9.8 |
| Aces | 3.2 | 5 |
| Double faults | 2.3 | 3.1 |
| 1st serve % | 67% | 68.4% |
| Break % | 53.4% | 43.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sanhui Shin
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/07 | Keisuke Saitoh M15 Bali |
1-2 | 12-19 | L |
| 30/07 | Ryotaro Taguchi M15 Bali |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 28/07 | Hitesh Chauhan M15 Bali |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 24/07 | Alexander Chang M15 Bali |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 23/07 | Yuttana Charoenphon M15 Bali |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 22/07 | Gunawan Trismuwantara M15 Bali |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 08/07 | Naoki Nakagawa M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 05/07 | Matthew Dellavedova M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 04/07 | Kasidit Samrej M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 03/07 | Omar Jasika M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Erik Arutiunian
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/08 | Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong Challenger Astana · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 09/08 | Egor Pleshivtsev Challenger Astana · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/08 | Kenta Miyoshi Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 31/05 | Quinn Vandecasteele Challenger Tyler · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 26/05 | Justin Boulais Challenger Little Rock · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 25/05 | Bruno Kuzuhara Challenger Little Rock · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 24/05 | Quinn Vandecasteele Challenger Little Rock · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 11/02 | Cannon Kingsley Challenger Baton Rouge · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 10/02 | Ben Jones Challenger Baton Rouge · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 06/12 | Fares Zakaria M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-11 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sanhui Shin vs Erik Arutiunian?
Our model gives 52% to Erik Arutiunian, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.