Tennis · Challenger Astana · 11/08, 07:00
Prediction: Mohamed Aziz Dougaz vs Alec Deckers
Team pages: Mohamed Aziz Dougaz · Alec Deckers
Prediction summary
Winner
Mohamed Aziz Dougaz
Alec Deckers
Estimated games
22.1Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Mohamed Aziz Dougaz
7-3 (W-L)
Alec Deckers
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mohamed Aziz Dougaz 1588 · Alec Deckers 1570
| Mohamed Aziz Dougaz | Alec Deckers | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 47% |
| Market | 69% | 31% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Mohamed Aziz Dougaz dominates on serve: 8.3 aces and 43.2% break avg.
- Alec Deckers dominates on serve: 8.3 aces and 40.5% break avg.
Statistics
| Mohamed Aziz Dougaz | Alec Deckers | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 80% (10) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.6 | 1.6-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.7-8.7 | 13.4-10.7 |
| Aces | 8.3 | 8.3 |
| Double faults | 2.3 | 3 |
| 1st serve % | 78.9% | 78% |
| Break % | 43.2% | 40.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.1 · Bet365 line 22.5
Over 22.5: 47% · 1.90
Under 22.5: 53% · 1.80
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mohamed Aziz Dougaz
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/08 | Joel Schwaerzler Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
1-2 | 18-17 | L |
| 04/08 | Mirza Basic Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 03/08 | Dimitris Sakellaridis Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 02/08 | Alan Bojarski Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
2-1 | 18-10 | W |
| 25/07 | Aleksandar Vukic ATP Washington · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 12/07 | Tuncay Duran M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 11/07 | Nicolas Robert M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 10/07 | Felipe Virgili Berini M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 09/07 | Timofey Stepanov M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 08/07 | Sean Daryabeigi M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 12-12 | W |
Alec Deckers
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/08 | Egor Agafonov Challenger Astana · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 09/08 | Danial Rakhmatullayev Challenger Astana · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 03/08 | Kerem Yilmaz Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
1-2 | 16-18 | L |
| 02/08 | Samim Filiz Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 10/07 | Charlie Robertson M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 09/07 | Andreas Timini M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-8 | W |
| 08/07 | Udit Kamboj M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 03/07 | Devin Badenhorst M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 02/07 | Kriish Tyagi M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 30/06 | Charlie Robertson M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mohamed Aziz Dougaz vs Alec Deckers?
Our model gives 61% to Mohamed Aziz Dougaz, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.