Tennis · Challenger Astana · 11/08, 07:00
Prediction: Petr Bar Biryukov vs Taisei Ichikawa
Team pages: Petr Bar Biryukov · Taisei Ichikawa
Prediction summary
Winner
Petr Bar Biryukov
Taisei Ichikawa
Estimated games
22Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Petr Bar Biryukov
5-5 (W-L)
Taisei Ichikawa
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Petr Bar Biryukov 1498 · Taisei Ichikawa 1514
| Petr Bar Biryukov | Taisei Ichikawa | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 52% |
| Market | 69% | 31% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Petr Bar Biryukov dominates on serve: 11.1 aces and 44.5% break avg.
- Note: Petr Bar Biryukov makes many double faults (5.3/match).
Statistics
| Petr Bar Biryukov | Taisei Ichikawa | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | – | 50% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.3 | 1.3-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.9-11.7 | 11.5-11 |
| Aces | 11.1 | 5 |
| Double faults | 5.3 | 1.8 |
| 1st serve % | 75.4% | 70% |
| Break % | 44.5% | 49.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22 · Bet365 line 22.5 · -0.5
Over 22.5: 47% · 2.00
Under 22.5: 53% · 1.72
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Petr Bar Biryukov
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08 | Grigory Shebekin M15 Astana |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 01/08 | Damir Zhalgasbay M15 Astana |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 31/07 | Shunsuke Mitsui M15 Astana |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 29/07 | Saveliy Ivanov M15 Astana |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 19/07 | Luca Staeheli Challenger Zug · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 14/07 | Florian Broska Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 20/06 | Antoine Ghibaudo ATP Mallorca · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Stefano Travaglia Challenger Parma · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 06/06 | Roman Safiullin ATP Stuttgart · Grass |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 05/06 | Ruslan Tiukaev M15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Taisei Ichikawa
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/08 | Karan Singh Challenger Astana · Hard |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 09/08 | Hyeon Chung Challenger Astana · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 29/07 | Ryuki Matsuda M15 Bali |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 24/07 | Ryuki Matsuda M15 Bali |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 23/07 | Mukund Sasikumar M15 Bali |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 21/07 | Jumpei Yamasaki M15 Bali |
2-0 | 10-4 | W |
| 08/07 | Makoto Ochi M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 02/07 | Kasidit Samrej M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 30/06 | Hunter Heck M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 17/06 | Jangjun Kim M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Petr Bar Biryukov vs Taisei Ichikawa?
Our model gives 59% to Petr Bar Biryukov, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.