Tennis · Challenger Brownsburg · 10/08, 18:30
Prediction: Ajeet Rai vs Quinn Vandecasteele
Team pages: Ajeet Rai · Quinn Vandecasteele
Prediction summary
Winner
Ajeet Rai
Quinn Vandecasteele
Estimated games
21.7
Recent form · 10 last
Ajeet Rai
4-6 (W-L)
Quinn Vandecasteele
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ajeet Rai 1509 · Quinn Vandecasteele 1483
| Ajeet Rai | Quinn Vandecasteele | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 34% | 66% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Quinn Vandecasteele dominates on serve: 7.6 aces and 41.1% break avg.
- Note: Ajeet Rai makes many double faults (4.1/match).
- Note: Quinn Vandecasteele makes many double faults (4.5/match).
Statistics
| Ajeet Rai | Quinn Vandecasteele | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (6) | 33% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.2 | 1-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.8-11.3 | 11.8-11.8 |
| Aces | 7.1 | 7.6 |
| Double faults | 4.1 | 4.5 |
| 1st serve % | 71.4% | 65.6% |
| Break % | 32.1% | 41.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ajeet Rai
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | Paul Jubb Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 12/07 | Evan Zhu Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 21/06 | Dragos Nicolae Cazacu Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 17/04 | Robert Strombachs M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 15/04 | Lukas Pokorny M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 14/04 | Tomas Lanik M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 13/04 | Petr Kapuskin M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 04/03 | Matthew Dellavedova M25 Launceston |
0-2 | 4-10 | L |
| 27/02 | Omar Jasika M25 Burnie |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 26/02 | Thomas Fancutt M25 Burnie |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
Quinn Vandecasteele
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | Patricio Alvarado Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 04/08 | Maxwell Exsted M25 Southaven |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 28/07 | Daniel Milavsky Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
1-2 | 11-12 | L |
| 28/07 | Cesar Bouchelaghem Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 19/07 | Sebastian Gorzny Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 12/07 | Keshav Chopra Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 08/07 | Daniel Milavsky Challenger Newport · Grass |
1-2 | 12-13 | L |
| 07/07 | James Trotter Challenger Newport · Grass |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 28/06 | Masamichi Imamura Challenger Cary · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Jurij Rodionov Challenger Dublin · Grass |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ajeet Rai vs Quinn Vandecasteele?
Our model gives 57% to Quinn Vandecasteele, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.