Tennis · Challenger Brownsburg · 10/08, 16:00
Prediction: Garrett Johns vs Mees Rottgering
Team pages: Garrett Johns · Mees Rottgering
Prediction summary
Winner
Garrett Johns
Mees Rottgering
Estimated games
21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Garrett Johns
6-4 (W-L)
Mees Rottgering
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Garrett Johns 1471 · Mees Rottgering 1528
| Garrett Johns | Mees Rottgering | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 35% | 65% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mees Rottgering (rating 1471 vs 1528).
- Mees Rottgering is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Garrett Johns | Mees Rottgering | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 33% (6) | 60% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.5 | 1.3-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.7-13.8 | 9.9-7 |
| Aces | 4.2 | 2.7 |
| Double faults | 2.8 | 3.7 |
| 1st serve % | 66.7% | 72.4% |
| Break % | 54.5% | 52.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Garrett Johns
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07 | Alan Magadan ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
1-2 | 8-14 | L |
| 22/07 | August Holmgren Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
| 20/07 | Enzo Aguiard Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 19/07 | Benjamin Thomas George Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 14/07 | Daniil Glinka Challenger Granby · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 09/07 | Darwin Blanch Challenger Newport · Grass |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 09/07 | Patrick Maloney Challenger Newport · Grass |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 07/07 | Stefan Kozlov Challenger Newport · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 05/07 | Blake Ellis Challenger Newport · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 01/06 | Olaf Pieczkowski Challenger Tyler · Hard |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
Mees Rottgering
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | Benjamin Kittay Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 03/08 | Abedallah Shelbayh Challenger Lexington · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 02/08 | Bryce Nakashima Challenger Lexington · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 22/07 | Yu Hsiou Hsu Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 21/07 | Fajing Sun Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 19/07 | Ozan Baris M25 Louisville |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 18/07 | Timo Legout M25 Louisville |
1-0 | 7-5 | W |
| 17/07 | Evan Bynoe M25 Louisville |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 16/07 | Lev Seidman M25 Louisville |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 15/07 | Russell Lokko M25 Louisville |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Garrett Johns vs Mees Rottgering?
Our model gives 62% to Mees Rottgering, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.