Tennis · Challenger Brownsburg · 10/08, 16:00
Prediction: Tristan Boyer vs Aidan Mayo
Team pages: Tristan Boyer · Aidan Mayo
Prediction summary
Winner
Tristan Boyer
Aidan Mayo
Estimated games
24.3
Recent form · 10 last
Tristan Boyer
6-4 (W-L)
Aidan Mayo
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Tristan Boyer 1527 · Aidan Mayo 1534
| Tristan Boyer | Aidan Mayo | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 61% | 39% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Tristan Boyer dominates on serve: 6.7 aces and 46.8% break avg.
- Aidan Mayo dominates on serve: 9.3 aces and 41.4% break avg.
- Note: Tristan Boyer makes many double faults (4.3/match).
- Note: Aidan Mayo makes many double faults (4.4/match).
Statistics
| Tristan Boyer | Aidan Mayo | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (5) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1.1 | 1.5-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.1-11.5 | 14.3-12.2 |
| Aces | 6.7 | 9.3 |
| Double faults | 4.3 | 4.4 |
| 1st serve % | 77.1% | 80% |
| Break % | 46.8% | 41.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tristan Boyer
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | Matthew Forbes Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
2-1 | 13-10 | W |
| 04/08 | Edas Butvilas Challenger Lexington · Hard |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 28/07 | Gabriel Diallo ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 26/07 | Lorenzo Claverie ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 23/07 | Jacob Fearnley Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 29/06 | Nuno Borges Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 13-20 | L |
| 25/06 | Pablo Llamas Ruiz Wimbledon · Grass |
3-1 | 26-21 | W |
| 24/06 | Andrea Pellegrino Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 22/06 | Genaro Alberto Olivieri Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/06 | Jay Clarke Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Aidan Mayo
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | Ryan Dickerson Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 04/08 | Rei Sakamoto Challenger Lexington · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 03/08 | Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez Challenger Lexington · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 02/08 | Christian Langmo Challenger Lexington · Hard |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 29/07 | James Duckworth ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 27/07 | Roger Pascual Ferra ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 26/07 | Evan King ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 22/07 | Alex Michelsen Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 20/07 | Alan Magadan Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
1-2 | 18-17 | L |
| 19/07 | Christian Langmo Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tristan Boyer vs Aidan Mayo?
Our model gives 55% to Tristan Boyer, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.