Tennis · Challenger Brownsburg · 10/08, 16:00

Prediction: Edward Winter vs Gavin Young

Team pages: Edward Winter · Gavin Young

Prediction summary
Winner
54% 46%
Edward Winter Gavin Young
Estimated games
23.2
Recent form · 10 last
Edward Winter 4-6 (W-L)
WLLLWLLWLW
Gavin Young 5-5 (W-L)
WLLLWWWLLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Edward Winter 1520 · Gavin Young 1510
Edward WinterGavin Young
Our model51%49%
Market56%44%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Edward WinterGavin Young
Win %50%50%
Win % · Hard 50% (10) 40% (5)
Sets (G-P)1.2-1.31.3-1.1
Games (G-P)12.1-12.212.5-12.1
Aces2.35.9
Double faults1.61.9
1st serve %66.4%73.3%
Break %30.1%51.4%
Estimated total games (ours) 23.2

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Edward Winter

WLWLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
09/08 Dominick Mosejczuk
Challenger Brownsburg · Hard
2-0 13-9 W
30/07 Jenson Brooksby
ATP Los Cabos · Hard
0-2 7-12 L
29/07 Moise Kouame
ATP Los Cabos · Hard
2-0 12-5 W
27/07 Soonwoo Kwon
ATP Los Cabos · Hard
0-2 7-13 L
26/07 Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes
ATP Los Cabos · Hard
2-1 15-12 W
21/07 Charles Broom
Challenger Winnipeg · Hard
1-2 11-14 L
20/07 Mikael Arseneault
Challenger Winnipeg · Hard
1-2 13-17 L
19/07 Josh Sheehy
Challenger Winnipeg · Hard
2-1 16-9 W
13/07 Strong Kirchheimer
Challenger Granby · Hard
0-2 9-13 L
12/07 Justin Roberts
Challenger Granby · Hard
2-1 18-18 W

Gavin Young

LWLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
09/08 William Manning
Challenger Brownsburg · Hard
2-0 12-6 W
02/08 Soonwoo Kwon
Challenger Lexington · Hard
0-2 8-13 L
30/07 Jack Anthrop
M25 Edwardsville
1-2 14-16 L
29/07 Cooper Woestendick
M25 Edwardsville
2-0 13-8 W
20/07 Sebastian Gorzny
Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard
1-2 15-18 L
19/07 Richard Biagiotti
Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard
2-0 12-7 W
13/07 Yassine Dlimi
Challenger Lincoln · Hard
0-2 8-13 L
11/07 Aidan Kim
M25 Dallas
1-2 13-17 L
10/07 Mitchell Krueger
M25 Dallas
2-1 17-15 W
09/07 William Manning
M25 Dallas
2-0 13-8 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Edward Winter vs Gavin Young?

Our model gives 54% to Edward Winter, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.