Tennis · Challenger Brownsburg · 11/08, 16:00
Prediction: David Jorda Sanchis vs Jack Pinnington Jones
Team pages: David Jorda Sanchis · Jack Pinnington Jones
Prediction summary
Winner
David Jorda Sanchis
Jack Pinnington Jones
Estimated games
24.2
Recent form · 10 last
David Jorda Sanchis
4-6 (W-L)
Jack Pinnington Jones
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · David Jorda Sanchis 1509 · Jack Pinnington Jones 1416
| David Jorda Sanchis | Jack Pinnington Jones | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 63% | 37% |
| Market | 27% | 73% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours David Jorda Sanchis (rating 1509 vs 1416).
- Jack Pinnington Jones dominates on serve: 10 aces and 40.1% break avg.
- David Jorda Sanchis is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Note: Jack Pinnington Jones makes many double faults (5/match).
Statistics
| David Jorda Sanchis | Jack Pinnington Jones | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 20% |
| Win % · Clay | 60% (10) | 0% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1 | 0.8-1.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.3-11.2 | 13-14.8 |
| Aces | 4.2 | 10 |
| Double faults | 3.3 | 5 |
| 1st serve % | 71.3% | 69.7% |
| Break % | 41.9% | 40.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
David Jorda Sanchis
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07 | Thiago Monteiro Challenger San Marino · Clay |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 18/07 | Pedro Martinez ATP Estoril · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 13/07 | Max Houkes Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 02/07 | Juan Cruz Martin Manzano Challenger Milan · Clay |
1-2 | 10-17 | L |
| 30/06 | Juan Carlos Prado Angelo Challenger Milan · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 14/06 | Felix Balshaw Challenger Lyon · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 13/06 | Tristan Boyer Challenger Lyon · Clay |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 12/06 | Dali Blanch Challenger Lyon · Clay |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 11/06 | Miguel Damas Challenger Lyon · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 09/06 | Alejo Sanchez Quilez Challenger Lyon · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Jack Pinnington Jones
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/08 | Millen Hurrion Challenger Lexington · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 29/07 | Toby Samuel Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 30/06 | Brandon Nakashima Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 14-20 | L |
| 24/06 | Jack Draper ATP Eastbourne · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 22/06 | Marco Trungelliti ATP Eastbourne · Grass |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 15/06 | Denis Shapovalov ATP Queens · Grass |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 12/06 | Filippo Romano Challenger Ilkley · Grass |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 08/06 | Harry Wendelken Challenger Ilkley · Grass |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 02/06 | Aleksandar Vukic Challenger Birmingham · Grass |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 18/05 | Vitaliy Sachko French Open · Clay |
1-2 | 17-17 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in David Jorda Sanchis vs Jack Pinnington Jones?
Our model gives 57% to Jack Pinnington Jones, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.