Tennis · Challenger Brownsburg · 11/08, 16:00
Prediction: Colton Smith vs Felix Gill
Team pages: Colton Smith · Felix Gill
Prediction summary
Winner
Colton Smith
Felix Gill
Estimated games
26.4
Recent form · 10 last
Colton Smith
6-4 (W-L)
Felix Gill
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Colton Smith 1485 · Felix Gill 1464
| Colton Smith | Felix Gill | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 47% |
| Market | 58% | 42% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Colton Smith makes many double faults (5/match).
Statistics
| Colton Smith | Felix Gill | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 30% |
| Win % · Grass | 50% (4) | 33% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.5 | 1-1.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.2-14.3 | 12.9-14.4 |
| Aces | 3.4 | 5.2 |
| Double faults | 5 | 1.4 |
| 1st serve % | 65.4% | 72.6% |
| Break % | 51.3% | 27.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
26.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Colton Smith
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/08 | Jay Friend Challenger Lexington · Hard |
1-2 | 16-18 | L |
| 26/07 | Roger Pascual Ferra ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 21/07 | Jeffrey John Wolf Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 18/07 | Bu Yunchaokete Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 16/07 | Hayato Matsuoka Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 14/07 | Andre Ilagan Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 25/06 | Michael Zheng Wimbledon · Grass |
1-3 | 15-22 | L |
| 24/06 | Borna Gojo Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 22/06 | Andy Andrade Wimbledon · Grass |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 17/06 | Jurij Rodionov Challenger Dublin · Grass |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Felix Gill
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/08 | Borna Gojo Challenger Lexington · Hard |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 10/07 | Max Basing Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 09/07 | Filip Jeff Planinsek Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 07/07 | William Jansen Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 29/06 | Rafael Jodar Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 11-19 | L |
| 24/06 | Jan Choinski ATP Eastbourne · Grass |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 20/06 | Marco Trungelliti ATP Eastbourne · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 17/06 | Otto Virtanen Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Hugo Gaston Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 10/06 | Filippo Romano Challenger Ilkley · Grass |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Colton Smith vs Felix Gill?
Our model gives 56% to Colton Smith, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.