Tennis · Challenger Astana · 10/08, 07:00
Prediction: Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong vs Erik Arutiunian
Team pages: Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong · Erik Arutiunian
Prediction summary
Winner
Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong
Erik Arutiunian
Estimated games
21.4
Recent form · 10 last
Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong
5-5 (W-L)
Erik Arutiunian
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong 1544 · Erik Arutiunian 1478
| Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong | Erik Arutiunian | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 41% |
| Market | 49% | 51% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong (rating 1544 vs 1478).
Statistics
| Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong | Erik Arutiunian | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (9) | 40% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1 | 0.9-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.2-10.2 | 9.4-10.9 |
| Aces | 3.4 | 6.6 |
| Double faults | 3.5 | 3 |
| 1st serve % | 70.5% | 69.4% |
| Break % | 52.1% | 39.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | Yerassyl Yerdilda Challenger Astana · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 20/07 | Dominik Palan Challenger Segovia · Hard |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 19/07 | Alberto Barroso Campos Challenger Segovia · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 14/07 | Dan Added Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 13/07 | Bernardo Munk Mesa Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 12/07 | Arda Azkara Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 07/07 | Luca Castelnuovo Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 20/06 | Matthew Dellavedova M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 19/06 | Alberto Lim M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 18/06 | Shintaro Imai M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Erik Arutiunian
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | Egor Pleshivtsev Challenger Astana · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/08 | Kenta Miyoshi Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 31/05 | Quinn Vandecasteele Challenger Tyler · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 26/05 | Justin Boulais Challenger Little Rock · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 25/05 | Bruno Kuzuhara Challenger Little Rock · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 24/05 | Quinn Vandecasteele Challenger Little Rock · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 11/02 | Cannon Kingsley Challenger Baton Rouge · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 10/02 | Ben Jones Challenger Baton Rouge · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 06/12 | Fares Zakaria M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-11 | L |
| 30/11 | Ognjen Milic M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong vs Erik Arutiunian?
Our model gives 53% to Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.