Tennis · Challenger Brownsburg · 09/08, 17:30
Prediction: Tristan Boyer vs Matthew Forbes
Team pages: Tristan Boyer · Matthew Forbes
Prediction summary
Winner
Tristan Boyer
Matthew Forbes
Estimated games
23.3
Recent form · 10 last
Tristan Boyer
6-4 (W-L)
Matthew Forbes
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Tristan Boyer 1508 · Matthew Forbes 1486
| Tristan Boyer | Matthew Forbes | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 47% |
| Market | 73% | 27% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Tristan Boyer dominates on serve: 6.7 aces and 43.6% break avg.
- Matthew Forbes dominates on serve: 7 aces and 50.5% break avg.
- Note: Tristan Boyer makes many double faults (4.1/match).
Statistics
| Tristan Boyer | Matthew Forbes | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (4) | 43% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.2 | 1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.3-12.1 | 11.5-12 |
| Aces | 6.7 | 7 |
| Double faults | 4.1 | 3.3 |
| 1st serve % | 76.3% | 68% |
| Break % | 43.6% | 50.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tristan Boyer
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/08 | Edas Butvilas Challenger Lexington · Hard |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 28/07 | Gabriel Diallo ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 26/07 | Lorenzo Claverie ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 23/07 | Jacob Fearnley Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 29/06 | Nuno Borges Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 13-20 | L |
| 25/06 | Pablo Llamas Ruiz Wimbledon · Grass |
3-1 | 26-21 | W |
| 24/06 | Andrea Pellegrino Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 22/06 | Genaro Alberto Olivieri Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/06 | Jay Clarke Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 13/06 | David Jorda Sanchis Challenger Lyon · Clay |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
Matthew Forbes
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08 | Spencer Johnson Challenger Lexington · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 18/07 | Bernard Tomic Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 16/07 | Jie Cui Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 14/07 | Sebastian Gorzny Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 12/07 | Alafia Ayeni Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 10/07 | Trevor Svajda M25 Dallas |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 09/07 | Evan Bynoe M25 Dallas |
2-1 | 14-9 | W |
| 07/07 | Jie Cui M25 Dallas |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 10/02 | Quinn Vandecasteele Challenger Baton Rouge · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 15/01 | William Grant M25 Winston-Salem · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tristan Boyer vs Matthew Forbes?
Our model gives 64% to Tristan Boyer, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.