Tennis · Challenger Astana · 09/08, 08:30
Prediction: Egor Pleshivtsev vs Erik Arutiunian
Team pages: Egor Pleshivtsev
Prediction summary
Winner
Egor Pleshivtsev
Erik Arutiunian
Estimated games
22
Recent form · 10 last
Egor Pleshivtsev
5-5 (W-L)
Erik Arutiunian
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Egor Pleshivtsev 1496 · Erik Arutiunian 1464
| Egor Pleshivtsev | Erik Arutiunian | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 45% |
| Market | 34% | 66% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Egor Pleshivtsev | Erik Arutiunian | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 40% (5) | 40% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.3 | 0.9-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.2-12.4 | 10-11.7 |
| Aces | 5.7 | 6.9 |
| Double faults | 3.4 | 2.9 |
| 1st serve % | 69.2% | 69.6% |
| Break % | 29.3% | 37.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Egor Pleshivtsev
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Shunsuke Mitsui M15 Astana |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 08/08 | Arnav Vijay Paparkar M15 Astana |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 07/08 | Ryo Tabata M15 Astana |
2-1 | 19-18 | W |
| 04/08 | Kasidit Samrej M15 Astana |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 16/07 | Amir Omarkhanov M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-10 | L |
| 15/07 | Rahul Dhokia M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 09/07 | Roan Jones M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 07/07 | Digvijay Pratap Singh M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 17/06 | Andrea Colombo M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 04/06 | Petr Bar Biryukov M15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
Erik Arutiunian
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08 | Kenta Miyoshi Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 31/05 | Quinn Vandecasteele Challenger Tyler · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 26/05 | Justin Boulais Challenger Little Rock · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 25/05 | Bruno Kuzuhara Challenger Little Rock · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 24/05 | Quinn Vandecasteele Challenger Little Rock · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 11/02 | Cannon Kingsley Challenger Baton Rouge · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 10/02 | Ben Jones Challenger Baton Rouge · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 06/12 | Fares Zakaria M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-11 | L |
| 30/11 | Ognjen Milic M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
| 29/11 | Romain Faucon M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Egor Pleshivtsev vs Erik Arutiunian?
Our model gives 57% to Erik Arutiunian, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.