Tennis · Challenger Astana · 11/08, 07:00
Prediction: Semen Pankin vs Dominik Palan
Team pages: Semen Pankin · Dominik Palan
Prediction summary
Winner
Semen Pankin
Dominik Palan
Estimated games
22.1Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Semen Pankin
3-7 (W-L)
Dominik Palan
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Semen Pankin 1476 · Dominik Palan 1542
| Semen Pankin | Dominik Palan | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 59% |
| Market | 66% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Dominik Palan (rating 1476 vs 1542).
- Note: Dominik Palan makes many double faults (5.5/match).
Statistics
| Semen Pankin | Dominik Palan | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 25% (4) | 75% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.2 | 1.4-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.3-11.3 | 12.7-11 |
| Aces | 2.8 | 7.1 |
| Double faults | 2.6 | 5.5 |
| 1st serve % | 65.3% | 73.8% |
| Break % | 48.1% | 39.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.1 · Bet365 line 22.5
Over 22.5: 47% · 1.90
Under 22.5: 53% · 1.80
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Semen Pankin
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/08 | Fajing Sun Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 30/07 | Manas Manoj Dhamne Challenger Samsun · Hard |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 28/07 | Togan Tokac Challenger Samsun · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 10/07 | Sebastiano Cocola M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 09/07 | Marko Bekeni M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 04/07 | Timofei Derepasko M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 03/07 | Ilya Snitari M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 02/07 | Maties Torres Ramis M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 01/07 | Giannicola Misasi M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 03/06 | Harold Mayot Challenger Centurion · Hard |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
Dominik Palan
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/08 | Pavlos Tsitsipas M25 Tauste · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 23/07 | Yanki Erel Challenger Segovia · Hard |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 21/07 | Max Basing Challenger Segovia · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 20/07 | Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong Challenger Segovia · Hard |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 19/07 | Bernardo Munk Mesa Challenger Segovia · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 16/07 | Izan Almazan Valiente Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 14/07 | Vadym Ursu Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 13/07 | Mario Gonzalez Fernandez Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 12/07 | Adam Martin Espinar Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 28/06 | David Poljak Challenger Brasov · Clay |
1-2 | 12-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Semen Pankin vs Dominik Palan?
Our model gives 55% to Semen Pankin, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.