Tennis · Challenger Astana · 11/08, 07:00
Prediction: Vadym Ursu vs Manas Manoj Dhamne
Team pages: Vadym Ursu · Manas Manoj Dhamne
Prediction summary
Winner
Vadym Ursu
Manas Manoj Dhamne
Estimated games
22Bet365 line 20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Vadym Ursu
3-7 (W-L)
Manas Manoj Dhamne
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Vadym Ursu 1445 · Manas Manoj Dhamne 1482
| Vadym Ursu | Manas Manoj Dhamne | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 55% |
| Market | 31% | 69% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Vadym Ursu makes many double faults (7.1/match).
- Note: Manas Manoj Dhamne makes many double faults (4.8/match).
Statistics
| Vadym Ursu | Manas Manoj Dhamne | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 33% (6) | 50% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.6-1.7 | 1-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.9-12.2 | 11.4-12.7 |
| Aces | 3.4 | 0.5 |
| Double faults | 7.1 | 4.8 |
| 1st serve % | 64.4% | 60.8% |
| Break % | 30.2% | 58.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22 · Bet365 line 20.5 · +1.5
Over 20.5: 60% · 1.80
Under 20.5: 40% · 1.90
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Vadym Ursu
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/08 | Tiago Pereira Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 31/07 | Kenta Miyoshi Challenger Samsun · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 30/07 | Denis Yevseyev Challenger Samsun · Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 28/07 | Mert Naci Turker Challenger Samsun · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 14/07 | Dominik Palan Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 07/07 | Lucas Poullain M25 Roda de Bara |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 28/06 | Daniele Rapagnetta Challenger Milan · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 14/06 | Yu Hsiou Hsu Challenger Dublin · Grass |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 07/06 | Dimitar Kuzmanov Challenger Bratislava · Clay |
1-2 | 9-16 | L |
| 30/05 | Yanki Erel M15 Kutaisi · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Manas Manoj Dhamne
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/08 | Gijs Brouwer Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 31/07 | Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine Challenger Samsun · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 30/07 | Semen Pankin Challenger Samsun · Hard |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 28/07 | Koray Kirci Challenger Samsun · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 11/07 | Vitaliy Sachko ATP Gstaad · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 10/07 | Miguel Damas Challenger Liege · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 08/07 | Sandro Kopp Challenger Liege · Clay |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 06/07 | Sergey Fomin Challenger Liege · Clay |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 30/06 | Ioannis Xilas Challenger Troyes · Clay |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 23/06 | Eero Vasa Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Vadym Ursu vs Manas Manoj Dhamne?
Our model gives 63% to Manas Manoj Dhamne, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.