Tennis · Challenger Astana · 11/08, 07:00
Prediction: Khumoyun Sultanov vs Alexandr Binda
Team pages: Khumoyun Sultanov · Alexandr Binda
Prediction summary
Winner
Khumoyun Sultanov
Alexandr Binda
Estimated games
22.8Bet365 line 21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Khumoyun Sultanov
7-3 (W-L)
Alexandr Binda
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Khumoyun Sultanov
1–0
Alexandr Binda
(1 last)
- 25 Oct2-0 12-3W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Khumoyun Sultanov 1574 · Alexandr Binda 1478
| Khumoyun Sultanov | Alexandr Binda | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 63% | 37% |
| Market | 63% | 38% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Khumoyun Sultanov (rating 1574 vs 1478).
- Khumoyun Sultanov is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Khumoyun Sultanov 1–0 Alexandr Binda (1).
- Note: Alexandr Binda makes many double faults (4.2/match).
Statistics
| Khumoyun Sultanov | Alexandr Binda | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 88% (8) | 25% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.7 | 1.2-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 13-9 | 12.1-12.1 |
| Aces | 3.3 | 3 |
| Double faults | 2.7 | 4.2 |
| 1st serve % | 69.4% | 59.5% |
| Break % | 46.8% | 53.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.8 · Bet365 line 21.5 · +1.3
Over 21.5: 59% · 1.80
Under 21.5: 41% · 1.90
H2H · Khumoyun Sultanov 1 – 0 Alexandr Binda (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Khumoyun Sultanov 1–0 Alexandr Binda
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10/24 M25 Sharm El Sheikh | 2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Khumoyun Sultanov
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/07 | Aleksandr Braynin Challenger Liberec · Clay |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 26/07 | Dominik Recek Challenger Liberec · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 21/07 | Andrej Martin M25 Ollersbach |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 07/07 | Karl Friberg M25 The Hague |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 03/07 | Filip Jeff Planinsek M25 Marburg · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 02/07 | Paul Jubb M25 Marburg · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 01/07 | Jim Hendrikx M25 Marburg · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 28/06 | Kalin Ivanovski M25 Zagreb · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 27/06 | Oleg Prihodko M25 Zagreb · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 26/06 | Sebastian Sorger M25 Zagreb · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Alexandr Binda
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/08 | Lucas Poullain Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 04/08 | Mert Naci Turker Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 03/08 | Sidharth Rawat Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/08 | S Mert Ozdemir Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 27/07 | Dimitar Kuzmanov Challenger Samsun · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 21/07 | Adrian Andreev M15 Segrate |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 13/07 | Matyas Fuele Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 12/07 | Aaron Gil Garcia Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 05/07 | David Poljak Challenger Iasi · Clay |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 02/07 | Reda Bennani M25 Rabat · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Khumoyun Sultanov vs Alexandr Binda?
Our model gives 63% to Khumoyun Sultanov, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.