Tennis · Challenger Astana · 11/08, 07:00
Prediction: Fajing Sun vs Zangar Nurlanuly
Team pages: Fajing Sun
Prediction summary
Winner
Fajing Sun
Zangar Nurlanuly
Estimated games
20Bet365 line 20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Fajing Sun
2-8 (W-L)
Zangar Nurlanuly
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Fajing Sun 1429 · Zangar Nurlanuly 1522
| Fajing Sun | Zangar Nurlanuly | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 37% | 63% |
| Market | 75% | 25% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Zangar Nurlanuly (rating 1429 vs 1522).
- Zangar Nurlanuly is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Note: Zangar Nurlanuly makes many double faults (4.9/match).
Statistics
| Fajing Sun | Zangar Nurlanuly | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 25% (8) | 60% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.4-1.6 | 1.2-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.1-10.8 | 10.6-9.8 |
| Aces | 4.2 | 2.4 |
| Double faults | 1.8 | 4.9 |
| 1st serve % | 70.3% | 66.3% |
| Break % | 39.3% | 50% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20 · Bet365 line 20.5 · -0.5
Over 20.5: 47% · 1.80
Under 20.5: 53% · 1.90
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Fajing Sun
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/08 | Ilia Simakin Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 03/08 | Semen Pankin Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 21/07 | Mees Rottgering Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Arthur Gea Challenger Granby · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 05/07 | Ozan Baris Challenger Newport · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Braden Shick Challenger Cary · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 03/06 | Andre Ilagan Challenger Tyler · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 29/05 | Jay Friend Challenger Little Rock · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 25/05 | Dakotah Bobo Challenger Little Rock · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 18/05 | Jesper De Jong French Open · Clay |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
Zangar Nurlanuly
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/07 | Dan Brand M15 Astana |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 30/07 | Yerassyl Yerdilda M15 Astana |
2-1 | 9-10 | W |
| 29/07 | Aleksandre Bakshi M15 Astana |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 28/04 | Edas Butvilas Challenger Shymkent · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 21/04 | Ivan Gakhov Challenger Shymkent · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 03/03 | Alexander Gschiel M15 Antalya · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 26/11 | Artur Kukasian M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 21/11 | Brian Bozemoj M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 20/11 | Wishaya Trongcharoenchaikul M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 19/11 | Ruslan Kastsiukevich M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Fajing Sun vs Zangar Nurlanuly?
Our model gives 58% to Fajing Sun, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.