Tennis · Challenger Astana · 11/08, 07:00
Prediction: Masamichi Imamura vs Antoine Ghibaudo
Team pages: Masamichi Imamura · Antoine Ghibaudo
Prediction summary
Winner
Masamichi Imamura
Antoine Ghibaudo
Estimated games
20.9Bet365 line 21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Masamichi Imamura
4-6 (W-L)
Antoine Ghibaudo
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Masamichi Imamura 1486 · Antoine Ghibaudo 1494
| Masamichi Imamura | Antoine Ghibaudo | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 39% | 61% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Masamichi Imamura | Antoine Ghibaudo | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 56% (9) | 50% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.2 | 1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.1-10.8 | 10.8-11.2 |
| Aces | 2.4 | 4.3 |
| Double faults | 1 | 2.6 |
| 1st serve % | 65.1% | 65.3% |
| Break % | 26.4% | 21.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.9 · Bet365 line 21.5 · -0.6
Over 21.5: 46% · 1.80
Under 21.5: 54% · 1.90
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Masamichi Imamura
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/07 | Roger Pascual Ferra Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 20/07 | Darian King Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 19/07 | James Tracy Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 15/07 | James McCabe Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 05/07 | Daniel Milavsky Challenger Newport · Grass |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 29/06 | Andrew Fenty Challenger Cary · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 28/06 | Quinn Vandecasteele Challenger Cary · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 21/06 | Jake Delaney M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 20/06 | Hunter Heck M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 19/06 | Tai Leonard Sach M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
Antoine Ghibaudo
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Ilia Simakin Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 05/08 | Akira Santillan Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 03/08 | Tuncay Duran Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 21/07 | Alejo Sanchez Quilez Challenger Segovia · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 16/07 | Dan Added Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 14/07 | Luca Castelnuovo Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 06/07 | Lui Maxted Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 22/06 | Miomir Kecmanovic ATP Mallorca · Grass |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 21/06 | Adam Walton ATP Mallorca · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 20/06 | Petr Bar Biryukov ATP Mallorca · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Masamichi Imamura vs Antoine Ghibaudo?
Our model gives 56% to Antoine Ghibaudo, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.