Tennis · Challenger Astana · 11/08, 07:00
Prediction: Aziz Ouakaa vs Jie Cui
Team pages: Aziz Ouakaa · Jie Cui
Prediction summary
Winner
Aziz Ouakaa
Jie Cui
Estimated games
21.4Bet365 line 21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Aziz Ouakaa
7-3 (W-L)
Jie Cui
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Aziz Ouakaa 1492 · Jie Cui 1481
| Aziz Ouakaa | Jie Cui | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 28% | 72% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Aziz Ouakaa | Jie Cui | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (10) | 44% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.1 | 1.2-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.6-9.7 | 12.6-10.6 |
| Aces | 3.9 | 2.6 |
| Double faults | 3.4 | 2.1 |
| 1st serve % | 72.7% | 68.5% |
| Break % | 41.7% | 53% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.4 · Bet365 line 21.5
Over 21.5: 50% · 1.90
Under 21.5: 50% · 1.80
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Aziz Ouakaa
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08 | Hunter Heck Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 20/07 | Cyril Vandermeersch Challenger Segovia · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 19/07 | Maxwell McKennon Challenger Segovia · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 16/07 | Ilya Ivashka Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Juan Pablo Ficovich Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 13/07 | Samuel Alejandro Linde Palacios Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 12/07 | Carlos Ferre Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 08/07 | Volodymyr Iakubenko M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 17-19 | L |
| 04/07 | Cesar Bouchelaghem M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 03/07 | Alexander Frusina M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Jie Cui
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/07 | Matthew Forbes Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 14/07 | Thomas Fancutt Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 07/07 | Matthew Forbes M25 Dallas |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 28/06 | Trevor Svajda Challenger Cary · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 18/06 | Dmitry Popko M25 Tulsa · ~Hard |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 16/06 | Alejandro Jacome Jaramillo M25 Tulsa · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 10/06 | Duncan Chan M25 Wichita · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 22/05 | Qian Sun M15 Luan · ~Hard |
1-2 | 16-14 | L |
| 21/05 | Shixun Zhu M15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 20/05 | Jesse Delaney M15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Aziz Ouakaa vs Jie Cui?
Our model gives 62% to Jie Cui, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.