Tennis · Challenger Astana · 09/08, 10:00

Prediction: Hyeon Chung vs Taisei Ichikawa

Team pages: Taisei Ichikawa

Prediction summary
Winner
65% 35%
Hyeon Chung Taisei Ichikawa
Estimated games
20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Hyeon Chung 8-2 (W-L)
LWWWWWWWLW
Taisei Ichikawa 6-4 (W-L)
LLWWLLWWWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Hyeon Chung 1551 · Taisei Ichikawa 1457
Hyeon ChungTaisei Ichikawa
Our model63%37%
Market66%34%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Hyeon Chung (rating 1551 vs 1457).
  • Hyeon Chung is in better form: 70% recent wins.

Statistics

Hyeon ChungTaisei Ichikawa
Win %70%30%
Win % · Hard 70% (10) 17% (6)
Sets (G-P)1.6-0.71.1-1.5
Games (G-P)10.8-7.210.5-11.6
Aces23.5
Double faults31.6
1st serve %70.2%66.2%
Break %42.4%49%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.5

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Hyeon Chung

LWWLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
09/06 Alan Magadan
M15 Tokyo · ~Hard
1-2 7-16 L
15/05 Matthew Dellavedova
M15 Nakhon Pathom · ~Hard
0-2 2-7 L
14/05 Thanapet Chanta
M15 Nakhon Pathom · ~Hard
2-0 12-5 W
12/05 Khomtat Kitthachok
M15 Nakhon Pathom · ~Hard
2-0 12-5 W
07/05 Matthew Dellavedova
M25 Nakhon Pathom · ~Hard
1-2 11-14 L
06/05 Christopher Papa
M25 Nakhon Pathom · ~Hard
2-0 12-2 W
03/05 Kasidit Samrej
M25 Nakhon Pathom · ~Hard
2-0 12-6 W
02/05 Masamichi Imamura
M25 Nakhon Pathom · ~Hard
2-0 12-1 W
01/05 Moerani Bouzige
M25 Nakhon Pathom · ~Hard
2-0 12-4 W
30/04 Ryuki Matsuda
M25 Nakhon Pathom · ~Hard
2-1 16-12 W

Taisei Ichikawa

LWWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
29/07 Ryuki Matsuda
M15 Bali
1-2 10-15 L
24/07 Ryuki Matsuda
M15 Bali
1-2 11-14 L
23/07 Mukund Sasikumar
M15 Bali
2-1 13-11 W
21/07 Jumpei Yamasaki
M15 Bali
2-0 10-4 W
08/07 Makoto Ochi
M15 Tokyo · ~Hard
0-2 10-13 L
02/07 Kasidit Samrej
M15 Tokyo · ~Hard
0-2 10-13 L
30/06 Hunter Heck
M15 Tokyo · ~Hard
2-0 12-5 W
17/06 Jangjun Kim
M15 Tokyo · ~Hard
1-2 11-16 L
15/06 Ryota Tanuma
M15 Tokyo · ~Hard
1-2 7-11 L
12/06 Naoya Honda
M15 Tokyo · ~Hard
1-2 11-14 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Hyeon Chung vs Taisei Ichikawa?

Our model gives 65% to Hyeon Chung, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.