Tennis · Challenger Astana · 09/08, 12:30
Prediction: Pawit Sornlaksup vs Shunsuke Mitsui
Team pages: Shunsuke Mitsui
Prediction summary
Winner
Pawit Sornlaksup
Shunsuke Mitsui
Estimated games
21.9
Recent form · 10 last
Pawit Sornlaksup
6-4 (W-L)
Shunsuke Mitsui
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Pawit Sornlaksup
0–1
Shunsuke Mitsui
(1 last)
- 18 Jun0-2 8-13L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Pawit Sornlaksup 1521 · Shunsuke Mitsui 1585
| Pawit Sornlaksup | Shunsuke Mitsui | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 59% |
| Market | 22% | 78% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Shunsuke Mitsui (rating 1521 vs 1585).
- Head-to-head: Pawit Sornlaksup 0–1 Shunsuke Mitsui (1).
Statistics
| Pawit Sornlaksup | Shunsuke Mitsui | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (6) | 67% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.1 | 1.6-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.4-10.7 | 13.7-10.2 |
| Aces | 2.7 | 3.6 |
| Double faults | 2.1 | 2.5 |
| 1st serve % | 65.2% | 74.6% |
| Break % | 42.8% | 47.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.9
H2H · Pawit Sornlaksup 0 – 1 Shunsuke Mitsui (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Pawit Sornlaksup 0–1 Shunsuke Mitsui
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/06/25 M25 Luzhou | 0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Pawit Sornlaksup
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Mukund Sasikumar M15 Astana |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 07/08 | Ivan Gretskiy M15 Astana |
2-1 | 12-13 | W |
| 30/07 | Damir Zhalgasbay M15 Astana |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 28/07 | Iliyas Maratuly M15 Astana |
2-0 | 11-6 | W |
| 23/06 | Yaojie Zeng M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 14/06 | Matthew Dellavedova M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 13/06 | Kokoro Isomura M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 12/06 | Thanapet Chanta M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 11/06 | Kasidit Samrej M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
| 10/06 | Fanming Meng M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Shunsuke Mitsui
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Egor Pleshivtsev M15 Astana |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 08/08 | Shintaro Imai M15 Astana |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 07/08 | Taiyo Yamanaka M15 Astana |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 06/08 | Yu Tanaka M15 Astana |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 31/07 | Petr Bar Biryukov M15 Astana |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 30/07 | Danial Rakhmatullayev M15 Astana |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 29/07 | Ansar Niyetkaliyev M15 Astana |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 18/03 | Hunter Heck M15 Nishi-Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 02/02 | Colin Sinclair Challenger Brisbane · Hard |
2-1 | 19-17 | W |
| 01/02 | Brandon Walkin Challenger Brisbane · Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Pawit Sornlaksup vs Shunsuke Mitsui?
Our model gives 70% to Shunsuke Mitsui, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.