Tennis · Challenger Astana · 09/08, 13:00
Prediction: Colin Sinclair vs Alibek Kachmazov
Team pages: Colin Sinclair · Alibek Kachmazov
Prediction summary
Winner
Colin Sinclair
Alibek Kachmazov
Estimated games
22.1
Recent form · 10 last
Colin Sinclair
6-4 (W-L)
Alibek Kachmazov
8-2 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Colin Sinclair
0–1
Alibek Kachmazov
(1 last)
- 20 Feb0-2 7-13L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Colin Sinclair 1509 · Alibek Kachmazov 1586
| Colin Sinclair | Alibek Kachmazov | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 61% |
| Market | 38% | 63% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alibek Kachmazov (rating 1509 vs 1586).
- Colin Sinclair dominates on serve: 8.4 aces and 42.8% break avg.
- Alibek Kachmazov dominates on serve: 8.1 aces and 56.1% break avg.
- Head-to-head: Colin Sinclair 0–1 Alibek Kachmazov (1).
Statistics
| Colin Sinclair | Alibek Kachmazov | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (4) | 78% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.9 | 1.7-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.6-10.7 | 12.6-8.5 |
| Aces | 8.4 | 8.1 |
| Double faults | 3.2 | 3.9 |
| 1st serve % | 70.8% | 83.6% |
| Break % | 42.8% | 56.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.1
H2H · Colin Sinclair 0 – 1 Alibek Kachmazov (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Colin Sinclair 0–1 Alibek Kachmazov
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20/02/23 Challenger Bengaluru | 0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Colin Sinclair
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/08 | Digvijay Pratap Singh Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 02/08 | Maxwell McKennon Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 29/07 | Koki Matsuda Challenger Samsun · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 28/07 | Mert Alkaya Challenger Samsun · Hard |
2-1 | 13-15 | W |
| 25/07 | Aly Geldyev Davis Cup |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 24/07 | Ganuka Fernando Davis Cup |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 23/07 | Mossa Alharrasi Davis Cup |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 17/07 | Matt Hulme M25 Brisbane |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 16/07 | Shinji Hazawa M25 Brisbane |
2-1 | 18-18 | W |
| 15/07 | Wihan Van Der Merwe M25 Brisbane |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Alibek Kachmazov
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/08 | Sora Fukuda M15 Astana |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 26/04 | Anton Arzhankin M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 25/04 | Marek Gengel M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 24/04 | Fares Zakaria M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 23/04 | Semen Pankin M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 22/04 | Cedric Stanke M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 15/04 | Maximilian Neuchrist M25 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 11/04 | Gauthier Onclin M25 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 10/04 | Nicolas Robert M25 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 09/04 | Skander Mansouri M25 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Colin Sinclair vs Alibek Kachmazov?
Our model gives 62% to Alibek Kachmazov, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.