Tennis · ATP Montreal · 09/08, 18:00
Prediction: Learner Tien vs Thiago Agustin Tirante
Team pages: Learner Tien · Thiago Agustin Tirante
Prediction summary
Winner
Learner Tien
Thiago Agustin Tirante
Estimated games
27.5
Recent form · 10 last
Learner Tien
8-2 (W-L)
Thiago Agustin Tirante
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Learner Tien 1517 · Thiago Agustin Tirante 1564
| Learner Tien | Thiago Agustin Tirante | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 68% | 32% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Thiago Agustin Tirante (rating 1517 vs 1564).
- Thiago Agustin Tirante dominates on serve: 7.6 aces and 53.2% break avg.
- Note: Learner Tien makes many double faults (5/match).
- Note: Thiago Agustin Tirante makes many double faults (4.3/match).
Statistics
| Learner Tien | Thiago Agustin Tirante | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 70% |
| Win % · Grass | 50% (4) | 33% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-1.5 | 1.6-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 16.1-14.8 | 14.3-13 |
| Aces | 6.2 | 7.6 |
| Double faults | 5 | 4.3 |
| 1st serve % | 70.2% | 76.1% |
| Break % | 36.9% | 53.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
27.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Learner Tien
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Tommy Paul ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 06/08 | Gael Monfils ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-1 | 12-12 | W |
| 28/07 | Adrian Mannarino ATP Washington · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 01/07 | Marton Fucsovics Wimbledon · Grass |
1-3 | 20-25 | L |
| 29/06 | Dalibor Svrcina Wimbledon · Grass |
3-1 | 24-15 | W |
| 17/06 | Felix Auger Aliassime ATP Halle · Grass |
1-2 | 18-20 | L |
| 15/06 | Max Schoenhaus ATP Halle · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 30/05 | Flavio Cobolli French Open · Clay |
0-3 | 7-18 | L |
| 28/05 | Facundo Diaz Acosta French Open · Clay |
3-2 | 27-26 | W |
| 26/05 | Cristian Garin French Open · Clay |
3-1 | 20-8 | W |
Thiago Agustin Tirante
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Alexei Popyrin ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 05/08 | Taylor Fritz ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 04/08 | Duncan Chan ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-1 | 14-15 | W |
| 16/07 | Nikoloz Basilashvili ATP Bastad · Clay |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 14/07 | Sebastian Ofner ATP Bastad · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 29/06 | Fabian Marozsan Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 12-19 | L |
| 24/06 | Toby Samuel ATP Eastbourne · Grass |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 23/06 | Hamish Stewart ATP Eastbourne · Grass |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 29/05 | Pablo Carreno Busta French Open · Clay |
1-3 | 21-23 | L |
| 27/05 | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina French Open · Clay |
3-1 | 23-16 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Learner Tien vs Thiago Agustin Tirante?
Our model gives 57% to Learner Tien, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.