Tennis · ATP Montreal · 08/08, 19:00
Prediction: Botic Van De Zandschulp vs Jakub Mensik
Team pages: Botic Van De Zandschulp · Jakub Mensik
Prediction summary
Winner
Botic Van De Zandschulp
Jakub Mensik
Estimated games
28.7
Recent form · 10 last
Botic Van De Zandschulp
6-4 (W-L)
Jakub Mensik
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Botic Van De Zandschulp 1526 · Jakub Mensik 1532
| Botic Van De Zandschulp | Jakub Mensik | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 30% | 70% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Botic Van De Zandschulp dominates on serve: 7 aces and 57.4% break avg.
- Note: Botic Van De Zandschulp makes many double faults (5.2/match).
- Note: Jakub Mensik makes many double faults (5/match).
Statistics
| Botic Van De Zandschulp | Jakub Mensik | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 100% (3) | 75% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-1.2 | 1.9-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 14.7-13.9 | 18.8-17.6 |
| Aces | 7 | 12.9 |
| Double faults | 5.2 | 5 |
| 1st serve % | 70.1% | 78.3% |
| Break % | 57.4% | 27.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
28.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Botic Van De Zandschulp
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/08 | Hubert Hurkacz ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-1 | 17-17 | W |
| 06/08 | Daniil Medvedev ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 04/08 | Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 21/07 | Jaime Faria ATP Estoril · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Adolfo Daniel Vallejo ATP Bastad · Clay |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 14/07 | Taro Daniel ATP Bastad · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 01/07 | Roman Safiullin Wimbledon · Grass |
2-3 | 21-26 | L |
| 29/06 | Aleksandar Kovacevic Wimbledon · Grass |
3-1 | 24-14 | W |
| 18/06 | Tommy Paul ATP Queens · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 15/06 | Harry Wendelken ATP Queens · Grass |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Jakub Mensik
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Terence Atmane ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 06/08 | Jacob Fearnley ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 30/07 | Brandon Nakashima ATP Washington · Hard |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 28/07 | Trevor Svajda ATP Washington · Hard |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 02/07 | Grigor Dimitrov Wimbledon · Grass |
1-3 | 20-24 | L |
| 30/06 | Toby Samuel Wimbledon · Grass |
3-2 | 27-25 | W |
| 16/06 | Adrian Mannarino ATP Queens · Grass |
1-2 | 19-19 | L |
| 05/06 | Alexander Zverev French Open · Clay |
1-3 | 16-22 | L |
| 02/06 | Joao Fonseca French Open · Clay |
3-0 | 19-13 | W |
| 31/05 | Andrey Rublev French Open · Clay |
3-2 | 25-24 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Botic Van De Zandschulp vs Jakub Mensik?
Our model gives 61% to Jakub Mensik, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.