Tennis · ATP Montreal · 08/08, 17:00
Prediction: Tallon Griekspoor vs Daniel Merida Aguilar
Team pages: Tallon Griekspoor · Daniel Merida Aguilar
Prediction summary
Winner
Tallon Griekspoor
Daniel Merida Aguilar
Estimated games
25.7
Recent form · 10 last
Tallon Griekspoor
3-7 (W-L)
Daniel Merida Aguilar
9-1 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Tallon Griekspoor 1486 · Daniel Merida Aguilar 1573
| Tallon Griekspoor | Daniel Merida Aguilar | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 62% |
| Market | 55% | 45% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Daniel Merida Aguilar (rating 1486 vs 1573).
- Daniel Merida Aguilar is in better form: 80% recent wins.
Statistics
| Tallon Griekspoor | Daniel Merida Aguilar | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 80% |
| Win % · Clay | 0% (2) | 83% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.7 | 1.8-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 14.9-15.6 | 13.9-10.3 |
| Aces | 9.2 | 2.2 |
| Double faults | 3.9 | 3 |
| 1st serve % | 70.8% | 71.2% |
| Break % | 29% | 46.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
25.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tallon Griekspoor
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/08 | Matteo Arnaldi ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 05/08 | Alexander Zverev ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 04/08 | Lorenzo Sonego ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 27/07 | Alejandro Tabilo ATP Washington · Hard |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 30/06 | James Duckworth Wimbledon · Grass |
1-3 | 19-23 | L |
| 16/06 | Sho Shimabukuro ATP Halle · Grass |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 11/06 | Zhizhen Zhang ATP Hertogenbosch · Grass |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 10/06 | Botic Van De Zandschulp ATP Hertogenbosch · Grass |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 26/05 | Matteo Arnaldi French Open · Clay |
1-3 | 19-25 | L |
| 16/05 | Raphael Collignon Challenger Bordeaux · Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
Daniel Merida Aguilar
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/08 | Alex Michelsen ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 06/08 | Ugo Humbert ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 04/08 | Liam Draxl ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 21/07 | Kyrian Jacquet ATP Estoril · Clay |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 18/07 | Damir Dzumhur ATP Umag · Clay |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 17/07 | Roman Andres Burruchaga ATP Umag · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 16/07 | Titouan Droguet ATP Umag · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 15/07 | Tomas Martin Etcheverry ATP Umag · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 14/07 | Ziga Sesko ATP Umag · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 01/07 | Daniil Medvedev Wimbledon · Grass |
1-3 | 16-22 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tallon Griekspoor vs Daniel Merida Aguilar?
Our model gives 53% to Daniel Merida Aguilar, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.