Tennis · ATP Montreal · 08/08, 17:00
Prediction: Arthur Rinderknech vs Brandon Nakashima
Team pages: Arthur Rinderknech · Brandon Nakashima
Prediction summary
Winner
Arthur Rinderknech
Brandon Nakashima
Estimated games
27.7
Recent form · 10 last
Arthur Rinderknech
3-7 (W-L)
Brandon Nakashima
8-2 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Arthur Rinderknech
1–1
Brandon Nakashima
(2 last)
- 23 May1-2 17-15L
- 21 Jan2-1 18-12W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Arthur Rinderknech 1505 · Brandon Nakashima 1541
| Arthur Rinderknech | Brandon Nakashima | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 55% |
| Market | 36% | 64% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Brandon Nakashima dominates on serve: 11.3 aces and 58% break avg.
Statistics
| Arthur Rinderknech | Brandon Nakashima | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Grass | 50% (6) | 50% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-1.4 | 1.9-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 17.1-16 | 16-13.5 |
| Aces | 17.9 | 11.3 |
| Double faults | 3.7 | 2 |
| 1st serve % | 81.2% | 81.1% |
| Break % | 33% | 58% |
Estimated total games (ours)
27.7
H2H · Arthur Rinderknech 1 – 1 Brandon Nakashima (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Arthur Rinderknech 1–1 Brandon Nakashima
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/05/23 ATP Lyon | 1-2 | 17-15 | L |
| 21/01/21 Challenger Istanbul | 2-1 | 18-12 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Arthur Rinderknech
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/08 | Miomir Kecmanovic ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 22/07 | Sebastian Baez ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
1-2 | 16-15 | L |
| 17/07 | Stefanos Tsitsipas ATP Gstaad · Clay |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 15/07 | Clement Tabur ATP Gstaad · Clay |
2-1 | 20-18 | W |
| 03/07 | Novak Djokovic Wimbledon · Grass |
1-3 | 21-21 | L |
| 01/07 | Martin Damm Wimbledon · Grass |
3-0 | 19-13 | W |
| 29/06 | Oliver Tarvet Wimbledon · Grass |
3-1 | 25-23 | W |
| 16/06 | Hamad Medjedovic ATP Queens · Grass |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 11/06 | Adrian Mannarino ATP Hertogenbosch · Grass |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 07/06 | Stan Wawrinka Bonmont Tennis Masters · ~Grass |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Brandon Nakashima
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/08 | Titouan Droguet ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 05/08 | Daniel Altmaier ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 02/08 | Taylor Fritz ATP Washington · Hard |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 31/07 | Alex De Minaur ATP Washington · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 30/07 | Jakub Mensik ATP Washington · Hard |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 28/07 | Tomas Martin Etcheverry ATP Washington · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 02/07 | Jan-Lennard Struff Wimbledon · Grass |
2-3 | 31-31 | L |
| 30/06 | Jack Pinnington Jones Wimbledon · Grass |
3-0 | 20-14 | W |
| 20/06 | Francisco Cerundolo ATP Queens · Grass |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 19/06 | Alex De Minaur ATP Queens · Grass |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Arthur Rinderknech vs Brandon Nakashima?
Our model gives 60% to Brandon Nakashima, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.