Tennis · ATP Montreal · 08/08, 17:00
Prediction: Nuno Borges vs Luciano Darderi
Team pages: Nuno Borges · Luciano Darderi
Prediction summary
Winner
Nuno Borges
Luciano Darderi
Estimated games
23.8
Recent form · 10 last
Nuno Borges
6-4 (W-L)
Luciano Darderi
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Nuno Borges
3–1
Luciano Darderi
(4 last)
- 17 Jul0-2 10-13L
- 25 Jun2-0 13-10W
- 05 Jan2-1 18-15W
- 15 Apr2-1 14-13W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Nuno Borges 1551 · Luciano Darderi 1539
| Nuno Borges | Luciano Darderi | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 60% | 40% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Nuno Borges dominates on serve: 6.5 aces and 43.3% break avg.
- Head-to-head: Nuno Borges 3–1 Luciano Darderi (4).
Statistics
| Nuno Borges | Luciano Darderi | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 60% (5) | 71% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.8 | 1.3-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.4-10.5 | 13.5-12.1 |
| Aces | 6.5 | 5.2 |
| Double faults | 2.2 | 2.4 |
| 1st serve % | 77.6% | 72.8% |
| Break % | 43.3% | 31.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.8
H2H · Nuno Borges 3 – 1 Luciano Darderi (4)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Nuno Borges 3–1 Luciano Darderi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/07/26 ATP Bastad | 0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 25/06/26 ATP Mallorca | 2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 05/01/25 ATP Auckland | 2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 15/04/22 Challenger Barletta | 2-1 | 14-13 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Nuno Borges
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/08 | Yannick Hanfmann ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 05/08 | Tomas Martin Etcheverry ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 04/08 | Aleksandar Kovacevic ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 22/07 | Roman Andres Burruchaga ATP Estoril · Clay |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 21/07 | Orlando Luz ATP Estoril · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 17/07 | Luciano Darderi ATP Bastad · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 15/07 | Grigor Dimitrov ATP Bastad · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 14/07 | Moise Kouame ATP Bastad · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 01/07 | Jannik Sinner Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 16-20 | L |
| 29/06 | Tristan Boyer Wimbledon · Grass |
3-0 | 20-13 | W |
Luciano Darderi
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/08 | Juncheng Shang ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 25/07 | Alexander Blockx ATP Estoril · Clay |
1-2 | 19-19 | L |
| 24/07 | Jaime Faria ATP Estoril · Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 23/07 | Pedro Martinez ATP Estoril · Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 19/07 | Andrey Rublev ATP Bastad · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 18/07 | Adolfo Daniel Vallejo ATP Bastad · Clay |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 17/07 | Nuno Borges ATP Bastad · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 15/07 | Daniel Altmaier ATP Bastad · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 29/06 | Ethan Quinn Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 13-20 | L |
| 25/06 | Nuno Borges ATP Mallorca · Grass |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Nuno Borges vs Luciano Darderi?
Our model gives 56% to Nuno Borges, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.