Tennis · ATP Montreal · 08/08, 17:00
Prediction: Arthur Fils vs Cameron Norrie
Team pages: Arthur Fils · Cameron Norrie
Prediction summary
Winner
Arthur Fils
Cameron Norrie
Estimated games
23.6
Recent form · 10 last
Arthur Fils
6-4 (W-L)
Cameron Norrie
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Arthur Fils 1552 · Cameron Norrie 1562
| Arthur Fils | Cameron Norrie | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 66% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Arthur Fils | Cameron Norrie | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (3) | 86% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.9 | 1.5-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.6-11.3 | 13.4-11.7 |
| Aces | 5.3 | 3.8 |
| Double faults | 2.4 | 3.9 |
| 1st serve % | 79% | 72.2% |
| Break % | 39% | 42% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Arthur Fils
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/08 | Mariano Navone ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 05/08 | Zachary Svajda ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 28/07 | Rafael Jodar ATP Washington · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 02/07 | Matteo Berrettini Wimbledon · Grass |
1-3 | 18-22 | L |
| 30/06 | Raphael Collignon Wimbledon · Grass |
3-0 | 19-9 | W |
| 01/05 | Jannik Sinner ATP Madrid · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 29/04 | Jiri Lehecka ATP Madrid · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 28/04 | Tomas Martin Etcheverry ATP Madrid · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 26/04 | Emilio Nava ATP Madrid · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 24/04 | Ignacio Buse ATP Madrid · Clay |
2-1 | 20-18 | W |
Cameron Norrie
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/08 | Alex De Minaur ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 05/08 | Ignacio Buse ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 04/08 | Camilo Ugo Carabelli ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 01/08 | Denis Shapovalov ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 31/07 | Bernard Tomic ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 30/07 | James Duckworth ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 28/07 | Aleksandar Kovacevic ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 29/06 | Michael Zheng Wimbledon · Grass |
2-3 | 25-31 | L |
| 16/06 | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina ATP Queens · Grass |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 20/05 | Mariano Navone ATP Geneva · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Arthur Fils vs Cameron Norrie?
Our model gives 58% to Arthur Fils, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.