Tennis · ATP Montreal · 08/08, 17:00
Prediction: Jiri Lehecka vs Rafael Jodar
Team pages: Jiri Lehecka · Rafael Jodar
Prediction summary
Winner
Jiri Lehecka
Rafael Jodar
Estimated games
25.9
Recent form · 10 last
Jiri Lehecka
9-1 (W-L)
Rafael Jodar
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jiri Lehecka 1533 · Rafael Jodar 1581
| Jiri Lehecka | Rafael Jodar | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 45% | 55% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Rafael Jodar (rating 1533 vs 1581).
Statistics
| Jiri Lehecka | Rafael Jodar | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (3) | 86% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.9-1 | 1.9-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 16.6-13.5 | 15.5-12.3 |
| Aces | 11.6 | 5 |
| Double faults | 2.2 | 3.9 |
| 1st serve % | 79.2% | 72.5% |
| Break % | 32.6% | 48% |
Estimated total games (ours)
25.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jiri Lehecka
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/08 | Alexander Blockx ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 05/08 | Vit Kopriva ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 30/07 | Coleman Wong ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
1-2 | 13-13 | L |
| 07/07 | Alexander Zverev Wimbledon · Grass |
1-3 | 21-23 | L |
| 04/07 | Jaume Munar Wimbledon · Grass |
3-1 | 22-18 | W |
| 02/07 | Alex Molcan Wimbledon · Grass |
3-0 | 18-9 | W |
| 30/06 | Alexei Popyrin Wimbledon · Grass |
3-0 | 18-10 | W |
| 18/06 | Rinky Hijikata ATP Queens · Grass |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 16/06 | Kamil Majchrzak ATP Queens · Grass |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 13/06 | Ben Shelton ATP Stuttgart · Grass |
1-2 | 19-20 | L |
Rafael Jodar
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/08 | Lorenzo Musetti ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 05/08 | Corentin Moutet ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 03/08 | Taylor Fritz ATP Washington · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 02/08 | Alejandro Tabilo ATP Washington · Hard |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 01/08 | Lorenzo Musetti ATP Washington · Hard |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 30/07 | Kei Nishikori ATP Washington · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 28/07 | Arthur Fils ATP Washington · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 03/07 | Shintaro Mochizuki Wimbledon · Grass |
1-3 | 20-20 | L |
| 02/07 | Pablo Carreno Busta Wimbledon · Grass |
3-2 | 22-22 | W |
| 29/06 | Felix Gill Wimbledon · Grass |
3-0 | 19-11 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jiri Lehecka vs Rafael Jodar?
Our model gives 56% to Rafael Jodar, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.