Tennis · WTA Toronto · 07/08, 17:00
Prediction: Caty McNally vs Alexandra Eala
Team pages: Caty McNally · Alexandra Eala
Prediction summary
Winner
Caty McNally
Alexandra Eala
Estimated games
21.5Bet365 line 20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Caty McNally
5-5 (W-L)
Alexandra Eala
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Caty McNally 1553 · Alexandra Eala 1617
| Caty McNally | Alexandra Eala | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 59% |
| Market | 32% | 68% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alexandra Eala (rating 1553 vs 1617).
- Note: Caty McNally makes many double faults (5.7/match).
Statistics
| Caty McNally | Alexandra Eala | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 90% |
| Win % · Hard | 80% (5) | 100% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.9 | 1.9-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.6-10.6 | 13.8-8.6 |
| Aces | 1.4 | 1.7 |
| Double faults | 5.7 | 2.4 |
| 1st serve % | 61.7% | 68.9% |
| Break % | 47.7% | 43.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.5 · Bet365 line 20.5 · +1
Over 20.5: 57% · 1.83
Under 20.5: 43% · 1.83
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Caty McNally
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/08 | Linda Noskova WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 04/08 | Tatjana Maria WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 31/07 | Kristina Liutova WTA Memphis · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 30/07 | Yexin Ma WTA Memphis · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 28/07 | Xiyu Wang WTA Memphis · Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 02/07 | Elena Rybakina Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Elena-Gabriela Ruse Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 25/06 | Petra Marcinko WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 24/06 | Emiliana Arango WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 23/06 | Janice Tjen WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
Alexandra Eala
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/08 | Alycia Parks WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 03/08 | Jessica Pegula WTA Washington · Hard |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 01/08 | Naomi Osaka WTA Washington · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 01/08 | Elina Svitolina WTA Washington · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 29/07 | Leylah Annie Fernandez WTA Washington · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 28/07 | Qinwen Zheng WTA Washington · Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 06/07 | Jasmine Paolini Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 04/07 | Iga Swiatek Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 02/07 | Maya Joint Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 15-8 | W |
| 30/06 | Renata Zarazua Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Caty McNally vs Alexandra Eala?
Our model gives 64% to Alexandra Eala, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.