Tennis · ATP Montreal · 08/08, 17:00

Prediction: Terence Atmane vs Jakub Mensik

Team pages: Terence Atmane · Jakub Mensik

Prediction summary
Winner
36% 64%
Terence Atmane Jakub Mensik
Estimated games
30.8
Recent form · 10 last
Terence Atmane 5-5 (W-L)
WLWLWLLLWW
Jakub Mensik 5-5 (W-L)
LWWLWLLWLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Terence Atmane 1473 · Jakub Mensik 1537
Terence AtmaneJakub Mensik
Our model41%59%
Market32%68%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Jakub Mensik (rating 1473 vs 1537).
  • Note: Jakub Mensik makes many double faults (5.3/match).

Statistics

Terence AtmaneJakub Mensik
Win %40%60%
Win % · Grass 20% (5) 33% (3)
Sets (G-P)1.2-1.72-1.7
Games (G-P)14-15.719.3-18
Aces9.413.2
Double faults2.75.3
1st serve %76.5%76%
Break %25.1%30.8%
Estimated total games (ours) 30.8

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Terence Atmane

LWLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
06/08 Karen Khachanov
ATP Montreal · Hard
2-0 13-10 W
04/08 Jack Draper
ATP Montreal · Hard
2-1 14-11 W
30/07 Alejandro Tabilo
ATP Washington · Hard
0-2 9-13 L
28/07 Frances Tiafoe
ATP Washington · Hard
2-1 16-13 W
01/07 Frances Tiafoe
Wimbledon · Grass
1-3 17-23 L
22/06 Gabriel Diallo
ATP Eastbourne · Grass
1-2 16-19 L
17/06 Daniil Medvedev
ATP Halle · Grass
0-2 8-12 L
15/06 Martin Landaluce
ATP Halle · Grass
2-1 16-15 W
08/06 Nuno Borges
ATP Hertogenbosch · Grass
0-2 8-12 L
25/05 Thanasi Kokkinakis
French Open · Clay
2-3 23-29 L

Jakub Mensik

WLWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
06/08 Jacob Fearnley
ATP Montreal · Hard
2-1 15-12 W
30/07 Brandon Nakashima
ATP Washington · Hard
1-2 16-16 L
28/07 Trevor Svajda
ATP Washington · Hard
2-1 18-12 W
02/07 Grigor Dimitrov
Wimbledon · Grass
1-3 20-24 L
30/06 Toby Samuel
Wimbledon · Grass
3-2 27-25 W
16/06 Adrian Mannarino
ATP Queens · Grass
1-2 19-19 L
05/06 Alexander Zverev
French Open · Clay
1-3 16-22 L
02/06 Joao Fonseca
French Open · Clay
3-0 19-13 W
31/05 Andrey Rublev
French Open · Clay
3-2 25-24 W
29/05 Alex De Minaur
French Open · Clay
3-1 18-13 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Terence Atmane vs Jakub Mensik?

Our model gives 64% to Jakub Mensik, using surface Elo on grass.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.