Tennis · ATP Montreal · 08/08, 17:00
Prediction: Botic Van De Zandschulp vs Hubert Hurkacz
Team pages: Botic Van De Zandschulp · Hubert Hurkacz
Prediction summary
Winner
Botic Van De Zandschulp
Hubert Hurkacz
Estimated games
28.6
Recent form · 10 last
Botic Van De Zandschulp
6-4 (W-L)
Hubert Hurkacz
9-1 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Botic Van De Zandschulp
1–0
Hubert Hurkacz
(1 last)
- 30 May3-2 30-22W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Botic Van De Zandschulp 1509 · Hubert Hurkacz 1561
| Botic Van De Zandschulp | Hubert Hurkacz | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 32% | 68% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Hubert Hurkacz (rating 1509 vs 1561).
- Botic Van De Zandschulp dominates on serve: 7.8 aces and 56.9% break avg.
- Head-to-head: Botic Van De Zandschulp 1–0 Hubert Hurkacz (1).
- Note: Botic Van De Zandschulp makes many double faults (5.1/match).
Statistics
| Botic Van De Zandschulp | Hubert Hurkacz | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Grass | 40% (5) | 67% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-1.3 | 2.2-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 14.3-14 | 18.4-15.2 |
| Aces | 7.8 | 18.1 |
| Double faults | 5.1 | 3.3 |
| 1st serve % | 69.8% | 82.6% |
| Break % | 56.9% | 36.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
28.6
H2H · Botic Van De Zandschulp 1 – 0 Hubert Hurkacz (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Botic Van De Zandschulp 1–0 Hubert Hurkacz
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30/05/21 French Open | 3-2 | 30-22 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Botic Van De Zandschulp
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/08 | Daniil Medvedev ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 04/08 | Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 21/07 | Jaime Faria ATP Estoril · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Adolfo Daniel Vallejo ATP Bastad · Clay |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 14/07 | Taro Daniel ATP Bastad · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 01/07 | Roman Safiullin Wimbledon · Grass |
2-3 | 21-26 | L |
| 29/06 | Aleksandar Kovacevic Wimbledon · Grass |
3-1 | 24-14 | W |
| 18/06 | Tommy Paul ATP Queens · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 15/06 | Harry Wendelken ATP Queens · Grass |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 10/06 | Tallon Griekspoor ATP Hertogenbosch · Grass |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
Hubert Hurkacz
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/08 | Alejandro Tabilo ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 04/08 | Marcos Giron ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 03/07 | Tommy Paul Wimbledon · Grass |
3-1 | 24-19 | W |
| 01/07 | Sebastian Ofner Wimbledon · Grass |
3-0 | 19-14 | W |
| 29/06 | Casper Ruud Wimbledon · Grass |
3-0 | 19-12 | W |
| 17/06 | Daniel Altmaier ATP Halle · Grass |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 16/06 | Andrey Rublev ATP Halle · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 10/06 | Marton Fucsovics ATP Hertogenbosch · Grass |
1-2 | 18-17 | L |
| 28/05 | Frances Tiafoe French Open · Clay |
2-3 | 28-31 | L |
| 25/05 | Jaume Munar French Open · Clay |
3-1 | 20-15 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Botic Van De Zandschulp vs Hubert Hurkacz?
Our model gives 63% to Hubert Hurkacz, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.