Tennis · ATP Montreal · 07/08, 01:30
Prediction: Brandon Nakashima vs Titouan Droguet
Team pages: Brandon Nakashima · Titouan Droguet
Prediction summary
Winner
Brandon Nakashima
Titouan Droguet
Estimated games
22.6
Recent form · 10 last
Brandon Nakashima
9-1 (W-L)
Titouan Droguet
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Brandon Nakashima 1559 · Titouan Droguet 1574
| Brandon Nakashima | Titouan Droguet | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 52% |
| Market | 70% | 30% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Brandon Nakashima dominates on serve: 11.1 aces and 59.7% break avg.
Statistics
| Brandon Nakashima | Titouan Droguet | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 80% (5) | 100% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.9-0.8 | 1.4-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 15.5-12.6 | 11.5-11.2 |
| Aces | 11.1 | 4.8 |
| Double faults | 1.9 | 3.4 |
| 1st serve % | 79.8% | 68.3% |
| Break % | 59.7% | 35.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Brandon Nakashima
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/08 | Daniel Altmaier ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 02/08 | Taylor Fritz ATP Washington · Hard |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 31/07 | Alex De Minaur ATP Washington · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 30/07 | Jakub Mensik ATP Washington · Hard |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 28/07 | Tomas Martin Etcheverry ATP Washington · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 02/07 | Jan-Lennard Struff Wimbledon · Grass |
2-3 | 31-31 | L |
| 30/06 | Jack Pinnington Jones Wimbledon · Grass |
3-0 | 20-14 | W |
| 20/06 | Francisco Cerundolo ATP Queens · Grass |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 19/06 | Alex De Minaur ATP Queens · Grass |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 17/06 | Ignacio Buse ATP Queens · Grass |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Titouan Droguet
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/08 | Jaime Faria ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 06/08 | Jaime Faria ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 03/08 | Luca Van Assche ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-1 | 15-16 | W |
| 01/08 | Dalibor Svrcina ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 22/07 | Hugo Gaston ATP Estoril · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 20/07 | Camilo Ugo Carabelli ATP Estoril · Clay |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 16/07 | Daniel Merida Aguilar ATP Umag · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Luca Van Assche ATP Umag · Clay |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 14/07 | Alexander Blockx ATP Umag · Clay |
2-1 | 15-8 | W |
| 12/07 | Zsombor Piros Challenger Iasi · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Brandon Nakashima vs Titouan Droguet?
Our model gives 60% to Brandon Nakashima, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.