Tennis · ATP Montreal · 07/08, 17:00
Prediction: Mariano Navone vs Arthur Fils
Team pages: Mariano Navone · Arthur Fils
Prediction summary
Winner
Mariano Navone
Arthur Fils
Estimated games
24.7
Recent form · 10 last
Mariano Navone
5-5 (W-L)
Arthur Fils
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Mariano Navone
1–0
Arthur Fils
(1 last)
- 22 Aug2-0 12-5W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mariano Navone 1517 · Arthur Fils 1550
| Mariano Navone | Arthur Fils | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 55% |
| Market | 30% | 70% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Mariano Navone 1–0 Arthur Fils (1).
Statistics
| Mariano Navone | Arthur Fils | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (6) | 83% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-1.4 | 1.6-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 14.9-12.7 | 13.7-11.6 |
| Aces | 2.2 | 5.4 |
| Double faults | 1.9 | 2.6 |
| 1st serve % | 68.3% | 76.7% |
| Break % | 36.6% | 37.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.7
H2H · Mariano Navone 1 – 0 Arthur Fils (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Mariano Navone 1–0 Arthur Fils
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08/22 Challenger Prague | 2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mariano Navone
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/08 | Valentin Vacherot ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-1 | 13-12 | W |
| 03/08 | Matteo Berrettini ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 23/07 | Quentin Halys ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 22/07 | Jan-Lennard Struff ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 20/07 | Alexandre Muller ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 15/07 | Stefano Travaglia ATP Bastad · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Flavio Cobolli Wimbledon · Grass |
1-3 | 21-21 | L |
| 21/06 | Lorenzo Sonego ATP Mallorca · Grass |
1-2 | 16-15 | L |
| 27/05 | Jakub Mensik French Open · Clay |
2-3 | 25-22 | L |
| 25/05 | Jenson Brooksby French Open · Clay |
3-0 | 18-12 | W |
Arthur Fils
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/08 | Zachary Svajda ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 28/07 | Rafael Jodar ATP Washington · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 02/07 | Matteo Berrettini Wimbledon · Grass |
1-3 | 18-22 | L |
| 30/06 | Raphael Collignon Wimbledon · Grass |
3-0 | 19-9 | W |
| 01/05 | Jannik Sinner ATP Madrid · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 29/04 | Jiri Lehecka ATP Madrid · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 28/04 | Tomas Martin Etcheverry ATP Madrid · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 26/04 | Emilio Nava ATP Madrid · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 24/04 | Ignacio Buse ATP Madrid · Clay |
2-1 | 20-18 | W |
| 19/04 | Andrey Rublev ATP Barcelona · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mariano Navone vs Arthur Fils?
Our model gives 63% to Arthur Fils, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.