Tennis · ATP Montreal · 07/08, 17:00
Prediction: Zizou Bergs vs Ben Shelton
Team pages: Zizou Bergs · Ben Shelton
Prediction summary
Winner
Zizou Bergs
Ben Shelton
Estimated games
29.5
Recent form · 10 last
Zizou Bergs
5-5 (W-L)
Ben Shelton
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Zizou Bergs
0–1
Ben Shelton
(1 last)
- 04 Apr1-2 13-15L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Zizou Bergs 1557 · Ben Shelton 1537
| Zizou Bergs | Ben Shelton | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 47% |
| Market | 26% | 74% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Zizou Bergs dominates on serve: 9.7 aces and 40.7% break avg.
- Head-to-head: Zizou Bergs 0–1 Ben Shelton (1).
- Note: Zizou Bergs makes many double faults (5.8/match).
- Note: Ben Shelton makes many double faults (4.1/match).
Statistics
| Zizou Bergs | Ben Shelton | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 70% |
| Win % · Grass | 75% (8) | 67% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.9-1.3 | 1.8-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 17.3-14.2 | 17-15.7 |
| Aces | 9.7 | 10.7 |
| Double faults | 5.8 | 4.1 |
| 1st serve % | 76.1% | 77.2% |
| Break % | 40.7% | 32% |
Estimated total games (ours)
29.5
H2H · Zizou Bergs 0 – 1 Ben Shelton (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Zizou Bergs 0–1 Ben Shelton
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/04/24 ATP Houston | 1-2 | 13-15 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Zizou Bergs
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/08 | Sebastian Baez ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 27/07 | Taylor Fritz ATP Washington · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 04/07 | Arthur Fery Wimbledon · Grass |
2-3 | 29-25 | L |
| 02/07 | Jaime Faria Wimbledon · Grass |
3-1 | 23-17 | W |
| 30/06 | Ugo Humbert Wimbledon · Grass |
3-2 | 26-22 | W |
| 28/06 | Ugo Humbert ATP Eastbourne · Grass |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 26/06 | Toby Samuel ATP Eastbourne · Grass |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 25/06 | Jan Choinski ATP Eastbourne · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 22/06 | Jaume Munar ATP Eastbourne · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 17/06 | Taylor Fritz ATP Halle · Grass |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
Ben Shelton
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/08 | Jenson Brooksby ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 01/08 | Alejandro Tabilo ATP Washington · Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 31/07 | Ugo Humbert ATP Washington · Hard |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 28/07 | Martin Damm ATP Washington · Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 30/06 | Otto Virtanen Wimbledon · Grass |
2-3 | 25-28 | L |
| 19/06 | Taylor Fritz ATP Halle · Grass |
1-2 | 19-20 | L |
| 18/06 | Ethan Quinn ATP Halle · Grass |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 17/06 | Lorenzo Sonego ATP Halle · Grass |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 14/06 | Taylor Fritz ATP Stuttgart · Grass |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 13/06 | Jiri Lehecka ATP Stuttgart · Grass |
2-1 | 20-19 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Zizou Bergs vs Ben Shelton?
Our model gives 62% to Ben Shelton, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.