Tennis · WTA Toronto · 07/08, 17:00

Prediction: Taylor Townsend vs Belinda Bencic

Team pages: Taylor Townsend · Belinda Bencic

Prediction summary
Winner
38% 62%
Taylor Townsend Belinda Bencic
Estimated games
21.1Bet365 line 20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Taylor Townsend 7-3 (W-L)
WWWLLWWLWW
Belinda Bencic 9-1 (W-L)
LWWWWWWWWW
Head-to-head
Taylor Townsend 0–1 Belinda Bencic (1 last)
  • 04 Apr0-2 7-13L
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Taylor Townsend 1522 · Belinda Bencic 1553
Taylor TownsendBelinda Bencic
Our model46%54%
Market32%68%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Head-to-head: Taylor Townsend 0–1 Belinda Bencic (1).
  • Note: Belinda Bencic makes many double faults (4/match).

Statistics

Taylor TownsendBelinda Bencic
Win %60%70%
Win % · Clay 60% (5) 60% (5)
Sets (G-P)1.4-0.81.6-0.7
Games (G-P)10.8-9.812-8.7
Aces3.22.1
Double faults1.84
1st serve %67.1%70.8%
Break %43.6%53.7%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.1 · Bet365 line 20.5 · +0.6
Over 20.5: 54% · 1.83 Under 20.5: 46% · 1.83

H2H · Taylor Townsend 01 Belinda Bencic (1)

Head-to-head (H2H) · Taylor Townsend 01 Belinda Bencic

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DateSetsGamesRes.
04/04/19
WTA Charleston
0-27-13L

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Taylor Townsend

WLLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
05/08 Marie Bouzkova
WTA Toronto · Hard
2-0 14-11 W
04/08 Tereza Valentova
WTA Toronto · Hard
2-0 13-9 W
30/06 Iga Swiatek
Wimbledon Women · Grass
1-2 10-14 L
21/06 Elena-Gabriela Ruse
WTA Bad Homburg · Grass
1-2 11-15 L
20/06 Martina Trevisan
WTA Bad Homburg · Grass
2-0 12-6 W
26/05 Coco Gauff
French Open Women · Clay
0-2 4-12 L
09/05 Iva Jovic
WTA Rome · Clay
0-2 7-13 L
07/05 Marie Bouzkova
WTA Rome · Clay
2-0 13-8 W
06/05 Nuria Brancaccio
WTA Rome · Clay
2-0 12-5 W
05/05 Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva
WTA Rome · Clay
2-0 12-5 W

Belinda Bencic

WWWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
05/08 Sloane Stephens
WTA Toronto · Hard
2-0 12-4 W
05/07 Coco Gauff
Wimbledon Women · Grass
1-2 13-16 L
03/07 Anna Kalinskaya
Wimbledon Women · Grass
2-1 17-16 W
01/07 Xinyu Wang
Wimbledon Women · Grass
2-0 13-5 W
29/06 Mika Stojsavljevic
Wimbledon Women · Grass
2-0 12-3 W
31/05 Elina Svitolina
French Open Women · Clay
1-2 10-16 L
29/05 Peyton Stearns
French Open Women · Clay
2-0 12-6 W
27/05 Caty McNally
French Open Women · Clay
2-0 12-4 W
24/05 Sinja Kraus
French Open Women · Clay
2-0 12-5 W
09/05 Anna Kalinskaya
WTA Rome · Clay
0-2 7-12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Taylor Townsend vs Belinda Bencic?

Our model gives 62% to Belinda Bencic, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.