Tennis · WTA Toronto · 07/08, 17:00
Prediction: Iva Jovic vs Alina Korneeva
Team pages: Iva Jovic · Alina Korneeva
Prediction summary
Winner
Iva Jovic
Alina Korneeva
Estimated games
22.6Bet365 line 21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Iva Jovic
8-2 (W-L)
Alina Korneeva
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Iva Jovic 1568 · Alina Korneeva 1562
| Iva Jovic | Alina Korneeva | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 68% | 32% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Iva Jovic | Alina Korneeva | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 80% |
| Win % · Grass | 75% (8) | 75% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.8 | 1.7-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.3-9.9 | 12.6-8.8 |
| Aces | 2.2 | 2.6 |
| Double faults | 2.9 | 3.1 |
| 1st serve % | 68.2% | 63.2% |
| Break % | 52.6% | 57.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.6 · Bet365 line 21.5 · +1.1
Over 21.5: 58% · 1.83
Under 21.5: 42% · 1.83
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Iva Jovic
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/08 | Magda Linette WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 05/07 | Jessica Pegula Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 03/07 | Ekaterina Alexandrova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 01/07 | Tatjana Maria Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 29/06 | Jaqueline Adina Cristian Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 13/06 | Emma Raducanu WTA Queens · Grass |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 12/06 | Amanda Anisimova WTA Queens · Grass |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 10/06 | Alexandra Eala WTA Queens · Grass |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 09/06 | Antonia Ruzic WTA Queens · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 30/05 | Naomi Osaka French Open Women · Clay |
1-2 | 17-19 | L |
Alina Korneeva
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/08 | Emma Navarro WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 01/08 | Mary Stoiana WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 18/07 | Maria Sakkari WTA Athens · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 17/07 | Tereza Valentova WTA Athens · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 16/07 | Ann Li WTA Athens · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 14/07 | Aoi Ito WTA Athens · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 30/06 | Kimberly Birrell Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 11-12 | L |
| 25/06 | Fiona Crawley Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 24/06 | Andrea Lazaro Garcia Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 19-14 | W |
| 23/06 | Alexandra Shubladze Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Iva Jovic vs Alina Korneeva?
Our model gives 60% to Iva Jovic, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.