Tennis · ATP Montreal · 06/08, 17:00
Prediction: Yannick Hanfmann vs Nuno Borges
Team pages: Yannick Hanfmann · Nuno Borges
Prediction summary
Winner
Yannick Hanfmann
Nuno Borges
Estimated games
23.7
Recent form · 10 last
Yannick Hanfmann
7-3 (W-L)
Nuno Borges
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Yannick Hanfmann 1542 · Nuno Borges 1533
| Yannick Hanfmann | Nuno Borges | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 41% | 59% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Yannick Hanfmann dominates on serve: 8.8 aces and 42.5% break avg.
Statistics
| Yannick Hanfmann | Nuno Borges | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 67% (6) | 60% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.9 | 1.4-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 14-11.7 | 12.5-11.1 |
| Aces | 8.8 | 6.5 |
| Double faults | 1.7 | 1.9 |
| 1st serve % | 76.5% | 75.5% |
| Break % | 42.5% | 37.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Yannick Hanfmann
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/08 | Flavio Cobolli ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 04/08 | Benjamin Bonzi ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 24/07 | Quentin Halys ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 23/07 | Sebastian Baez ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 22/07 | Marco Trungelliti ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 20/07 | Lukas Neumayer ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 15/07 | Valentin Vacherot ATP Gstaad · Clay |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 14/07 | Pedro Martinez ATP Gstaad · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 02/07 | Karen Khachanov Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 11-18 | L |
| 30/06 | Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard Wimbledon · Grass |
3-1 | 25-18 | W |
Nuno Borges
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/08 | Tomas Martin Etcheverry ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 04/08 | Aleksandar Kovacevic ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 22/07 | Roman Andres Burruchaga ATP Estoril · Clay |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 21/07 | Orlando Luz ATP Estoril · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 17/07 | Luciano Darderi ATP Bastad · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 15/07 | Grigor Dimitrov ATP Bastad · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 14/07 | Moise Kouame ATP Bastad · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 01/07 | Jannik Sinner Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 16-20 | L |
| 29/06 | Tristan Boyer Wimbledon · Grass |
3-0 | 20-13 | W |
| 26/06 | Ethan Quinn ATP Mallorca · Grass |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Yannick Hanfmann vs Nuno Borges?
Our model gives 54% to Nuno Borges, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.